Turkey · Süper Lig

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe

Kick-off 19:30 · Mon, Oct 26

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

66% confidence

Galatasaray 65.7% Draw 13.3% Fenerbahçe 21.0%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

93%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Galatasaray win at 65.7%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Galatasaray: 7 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Galatasaray win

65.7%

1X2 model probability

Draw

13.3%

1X2 model probability

Fenerbahçe win

21%

1X2 model probability

Galatasaray

W L L W D L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:14 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Fenerbahçe

D L D W D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:13 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Galatasaray win65.7%

Draw13.3%

Fenerbahçe win21.0%

Over 1.5 goals99.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.5%

Over 3.5 goals93.0%

Both teams to score92.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.5%

Goal in Both Halves94.5%

Home or Away (12)83.3%

Draw No Bet - Home75.7%

Home or Draw (1X)75.5%

Home Win63.0%

Draw or Away (X2)32.7%

Draw No Bet - Away24.3%

Away Win20.2%

Draw12.5%

Exactly 1 Goal0.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.4%

Over 3.5 Goals89.0%

4+ Goals89.0%

Over 4.5 Goals81.0%

Over 5.5 Goals69.3%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Total Goals Even47.9%

Under 5.5 Goals30.7%

Under 4.5 Goals19.0%

2-4 Goals14.2%

3-4 Goals12.4%

Under 3.5 Goals11.0%

1-3 Goals6.7%

Under 2.5 Goals6.6%

2-3 Goals6.2%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 3 Goals4.4%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

1-2 Goals2.3%

Exactly 2 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.6%

Away Team to Score89.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.1%

Home Clean Sheet5.8%

Home Win to Nil5.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.6%

Away Over 0.589.9%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Home Over 2.578.4%

Home 3+ Goals78.4%

Away Over 1.573.6%

Away Over 2.550.7%

Away 3+ Goals50.7%

Away Exactly 222.9%

Away Exactly 116.3%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 05.8%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)63.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)48.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home48.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)47.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away47.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.6%

Home to win by 3+33.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)32.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away32.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.8%

Home to win by 214.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 19.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.7%

Away to win by 25.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.4%

Away to win by 3+5.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.0%

Home & Over 2.562.1%

Home & BTTS57.3%

Away & Over 2.519.8%

Away & BTTS19.2%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

Draw & Over 2.511.6%

Home & No BTTS5.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Home & Under 2.51.0%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Draw & Under 2.50.9%

BTTS & Under 2.50.9%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.2%

HT Over 1.583.9%

HT Both Teams Score62.2%

HT Home Win55.1%

2nd Half More Goals53.1%

HT/FT Home/Home47.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Away Win23.5%

HT Draw21.4%

HT Under 1.516.1%

Equal Goals Each Half14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.4%

HT/FT Away/Away12.4%

HT/FT Away/Home6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT Under 0.53.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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