Turkey · Süper Lig

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa

Kick-off 18:00 · Fri, Oct 9

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Galatasaray 36.3% Draw 18.1% Kasımpaşa 45.6%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 88%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

88%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 5.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Galatasaray: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.08 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.7%

Exact-score model probability

Galatasaray

L W D L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:14 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Kasımpaşa

D W L D

Form 1-2-1 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.25

Head to head · last 1

Galatasaray 0wins ·0 draws ·Kasımpaşa 1wins

Galatasaray 0-1 KasımpaşaMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Galatasaray win36.3%

Draw18.1%

Kasımpaşa win45.6%

Over 1.5 goals97.8%

Over 2.5 goals91.4%

Over 3.5 goals80.3%

Both teams to score88.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.4%

Goal in Both Halves87.4%

Home or Away (12)82.3%

Draw or Away (X2)63.0%

Draw No Bet - Away55.6%

Home or Draw (1X)53.8%

Away Win45.7%

Draw No Bet - Home44.4%

Home Win36.6%

Draw17.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals97.0%

Over 2.5 Goals91.0%

Over 3.5 Goals79.9%

4+ Goals79.9%

Over 4.5 Goals64.6%

Under 5.5 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals47.5%

Under 4.5 Goals35.4%

2-4 Goals32.4%

3-4 Goals26.4%

Under 3.5 Goals20.1%

1-3 Goals19.2%

2-3 Goals17.0%

Exactly 3 Goals11.1%

Under 2.5 Goals9.0%

1-2 Goals8.1%

Exactly 2 Goals6.0%

Under 1.5 Goals3.0%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.1%

Home Team to Score92.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.6%

Away Clean Sheet7.1%

Away Win to Nil6.8%

Home Clean Sheet5.4%

Home Win to Nil5.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.1%

Home Over 0.592.4%

Away Over 1.578.4%

Home Over 1.573.5%

Away Over 2.555.4%

Away 3+ Goals55.4%

Home Over 2.548.7%

Home 3+ Goals48.7%

Home Exactly 224.8%

Away Exactly 223.0%

Home Exactly 118.8%

Away Exactly 115.8%

Home Exactly 07.1%

Away Exactly 05.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)70.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home70.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)45.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away29.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.4%

Away to win by 116.4%

Away to win by 3+16.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.8%

Home to win by 114.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 212.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.2%

Home to win by 3+11.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.5%

Home to win by 210.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.4%

Away & Over 2.542.9%

Away & BTTS39.0%

Home & Over 2.534.2%

Home & BTTS31.5%

Draw & BTTS16.9%

Draw & Over 2.513.9%

Away & No BTTS6.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Home & No BTTS5.0%

Draw & Under 2.53.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Away & Under 2.52.8%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.8%

HT Over 1.571.2%

HT Both Teams Score50.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.6%

HT Away Win39.5%

HT Home Win33.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Away/Away29.9%

HT Under 1.528.8%

HT Draw26.9%

HT/FT Home/Home23.1%

Equal Goals Each Half16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.3%

HT Under 0.58.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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