Turkey · Süper Lig

Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Galatasaray 69.0% Draw 18.7% Kocaelispor 12.3%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Galatasaray: 7 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.4%

Exact-score model probability

Galatasaray

L W D L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:14 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Kocaelispor

W L L L D

Form 1-1-3 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Galatasaray win69.0%

Draw18.7%

Kocaelispor win12.3%

Over 1.5 goals88.0%

Over 2.5 goals68.9%

Over 3.5 goals47.5%

Both teams to score60.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.9%

Home Over 0.5

91.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.6%

Draw No Bet - Home84.0%

Home or Away (12)83.2%

Home Win69.8%

Both Halves Over 0.568.5%

Goal in Both Halves68.5%

Draw or Away (X2)30.0%

Draw16.7%

Draw No Bet - Away16.0%

Away Win13.3%

Exactly 1 Goal10.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.9%

Under 5.5 Goals85.1%

Under 4.5 Goals71.6%

Over 2.5 Goals68.8%

2-4 Goals58.5%

Under 3.5 Goals52.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.6%

Over 3.5 Goals47.4%

4+ Goals47.4%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.4%

Under 2.5 Goals31.2%

Over 4.5 Goals28.4%

1-2 Goals28.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.4%

Exactly 2 Goals18.0%

Over 5.5 Goals14.9%

Under 1.5 Goals13.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.9%

Away Team to Score64.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.0%

Home Clean Sheet35.8%

Home Win to Nil32.9%

Away Clean Sheet8.0%

Away Win to Nil5.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.9%

Home Over 1.571.8%

Away Over 0.564.1%

Home Over 2.546.3%

Home 3+ Goals46.3%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 035.8%

Away Over 1.527.4%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 120.2%

Away Exactly 218.9%

Away Over 2.58.5%

Away 3+ Goals8.5%

Home Exactly 08.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)51.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away51.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)48.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home48.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.1%

Home to win by 3+28.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.7%

Home to win by 121.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 220.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.8%

Away to win by 18.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.3%

Away to win by 23.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.553.5%

BTTS & Over 2.551.6%

Home & BTTS36.9%

Home & No BTTS32.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.2%

Home & Under 2.516.3%

Draw & BTTS13.9%

Draw & Under 2.510.3%

Away & Over 2.58.9%

Away & BTTS8.2%

BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

Away & No BTTS5.1%

Away & Under 2.54.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.8%

HT Home Win52.7%

HT Under 1.552.5%

HT/FT Home/Home47.7%

HT Over 1.547.5%

2nd Half More Goals46.3%

HT Draw32.3%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score25.2%

Equal Goals Each Half21.8%

HT Under 0.520.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.5%

HT Away Win15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%

HT/FT Away/Away7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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