South-Korea · K League 1

Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Aug 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)

74% confidence

Gangwon FC 74.0% Draw 20.0% Bucheon FC 1995 6.0%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 26%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

High home win probability

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 85%

⚠️ AIs disagree

69%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Clean Sheet

Strong home defense

70%

Under 2.5 Goals

Low scoring average

62%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Gangwon FC has a significant form gap over Bucheon FC 1995, with a strong home record and solid defensive strength. Gangwon FC's attacking threat is led by their home scoring rate. The key player impact is minimal in this match, with no major injuries reported. The H2H significance is low due to no recorded meetings.

💡

Top Tip

Gangwon FC's strong home record makes Home or Draw a solid pick

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 94% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 6.0% on the only losing outcome.

High home win probability

Recent form leans to Gangwon FC: 11 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home or Draw (1X)

1X · Home or Draw

94%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

Only the uncovered result loses

Bookmaker implied chance

85%

Market agrees with this pick

Gangwon FC

L D W D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Bucheon FC 1995

D L L D D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gangwon FC win74.0%

Draw20.0%

Bucheon FC 1995 win6.0%

Over 1.5 goals65.9%

Over 2.5 goals52.2%

Over 3.5 goals18.4%

Both teams to score26.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.4%

Over 0.5 Goals

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)93.9%

Draw No Bet - Home92.4%

Home or Away (12)80.8%

Home Win74.7%

Both Halves Over 0.544.5%

Goal in Both Halves44.5%

Draw or Away (X2)25.3%

Exactly 1 Goal24.1%

Draw19.2%

Draw No Bet - Away7.6%

Away Win6.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.4%

Under 4.5 Goals92.5%

Over 0.5 Goals89.1%

Under 3.5 Goals81.6%

1-3 Goals70.7%

Over 1.5 Goals65.0%

Under 2.5 Goals61.8%

2-4 Goals57.6%

1-2 Goals50.9%

Total Goals Even50.6%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

2-3 Goals46.6%

Over 2.5 Goals38.2%

Under 1.5 Goals35.0%

3-4 Goals30.8%

Exactly 2 Goals26.8%

Exactly 3 Goals19.8%

Over 3.5 Goals18.4%

4+ Goals18.4%

Under 0.5 Goals10.9%

Exactly 0 Goals10.9%

Over 4.5 Goals7.5%

Over 5.5 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.0%

Home Clean Sheet70.5%

Home Win to Nil59.6%

Away Team to Score29.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)25.0%

Away Clean Sheet15.4%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.6%

Away Exactly 070.5%

Home Over 1.555.8%

Away Over 0.529.5%

Home Over 2.528.8%

Home Exactly 128.8%

Home 3+ Goals28.8%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 124.7%

Home Exactly 015.4%

Away Over 1.54.9%

Away Exactly 24.3%

Away Over 2.50.6%

Away 3+ Goals0.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw27.7%

Home to win by 127.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.5%

Home to win by 223.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.4%

Home to win by 3+23.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.2%

Away to win by 15.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS59.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.554.6%

Home & Under 2.539.3%

Home & Over 2.535.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.4%

Draw & Under 2.518.0%

BTTS & Over 2.517.9%

Home & BTTS15.1%

Draw & BTTS8.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Away & Under 2.54.5%

Away & Over 2.51.6%

Away & BTTS1.6%

Draw & Over 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.573.6%

HT Over 0.563.2%

HT Home Win51.4%

HT/FT Home/Home49.1%

HT Draw41.9%

2nd Half More Goals41.2%

HT Under 0.536.8%

1st Half More Goals30.1%

Equal Goals Each Half28.7%

HT Over 1.526.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home24.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.9%

HT Both Teams Score8.3%

HT Away Win6.7%

HT/FT Away/Away3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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