South-Korea · K League 1

Gangwon FC vs Incheon United

Kick-off 11:00 · Sun, Sep 27

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Gangwon FC 22.2% Draw 26.8% Incheon United 51.0%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Incheon United: 5 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.3%

Exact-score model probability

Gangwon FC

L L D D W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Incheon United

D L W D D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Gangwon FC 1wins ·0 draws ·Incheon United 0wins

Gangwon FC 1-0 Incheon UnitedMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gangwon FC win22.2%

Draw26.8%

Incheon United win51.0%

Over 1.5 goals78.3%

Over 2.5 goals53.0%

Over 3.5 goals30.7%

Both teams to score55.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)76.3%

Home or Away (12)76.2%

Draw No Bet - Away68.9%

Both Halves Over 0.556.2%

Goal in Both Halves56.2%

Away Win52.4%

Home or Draw (1X)47.6%

Draw No Bet - Home31.1%

Draw23.8%

Home Win23.7%

Exactly 1 Goal17.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals93.9%

Under 5.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals84.8%

Over 1.5 Goals76.8%

Under 3.5 Goals69.3%

1-3 Goals63.2%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals53.0%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals47.0%

2-3 Goals46.1%

1-2 Goals40.9%

3-4 Goals37.8%

Over 3.5 Goals30.7%

4+ Goals30.7%

Exactly 2 Goals23.9%

Under 1.5 Goals23.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals15.2%

Over 5.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals6.1%

Exactly 0 Goals6.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.1%

Home Team to Score65.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.9%

Away Clean Sheet34.1%

Away Win to Nil28.0%

Home Clean Sheet17.9%

Home Win to Nil11.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.1%

Home Over 0.565.9%

Away Over 1.551.3%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 034.1%

Away Exactly 130.8%

Home Over 1.529.2%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Away Over 2.524.8%

Away 3+ Goals24.8%

Home Exactly 219.7%

Away Exactly 017.9%

Home Over 2.59.5%

Home 3+ Goals9.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)76.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away76.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home71.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)28.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away28.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.7%

Away to win by 123.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 216.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.8%

Home to win by 114.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.7%

Away to win by 3+12.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.3%

Home to win by 26.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.6%

Home to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.542.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.7%

Away & Over 2.532.9%

Away & No BTTS28.0%

Away & BTTS24.5%

Away & Under 2.519.5%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Draw & Under 2.517.4%

Home & Over 2.513.6%

Home & BTTS11.9%

Home & No BTTS11.8%

BTTS & Under 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.2%

Home & Under 2.510.1%

Draw & Over 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.6%

HT Under 1.564.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.8%

HT Draw40.1%

HT Away Win39.0%

HT Over 1.535.8%

HT/FT Away/Away32.6%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.528.4%

Equal Goals Each Half25.0%

HT Home Win20.9%

HT Both Teams Score20.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.2%

HT/FT Home/Home13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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