South-Korea · K League 1

Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC

Kick-off 08:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Gangwon FC 16.2% Draw 22.6% Jeju United FC 61.2%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 56%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

83%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Jeju United FC: 5 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

56%

Market does not fully agree

Gangwon FC

L D D W L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Jeju United FC

D W D W W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 13:7 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Gangwon FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Jeju United FC 0wins

Gangwon FC 1-1 Jeju United FCJul 21, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gangwon FC win16.2%

Draw22.6%

Jeju United FC win61.2%

Over 1.5 goals83.4%

Over 2.5 goals60.9%

Over 3.5 goals38.5%

Both teams to score57.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.3%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)82.5%

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Draw No Bet - Away78.2%

Away Win62.4%

Both Halves Over 0.562.3%

Goal in Both Halves62.3%

Home or Draw (1X)37.6%

Draw No Bet - Home21.8%

Draw20.2%

Home Win17.4%

Exactly 1 Goal13.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Under 5.5 Goals90.1%

Over 1.5 Goals82.1%

Under 4.5 Goals79.0%

Under 3.5 Goals61.5%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals60.9%

1-3 Goals57.1%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.6%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals39.1%

Over 3.5 Goals38.5%

4+ Goals38.5%

1-2 Goals34.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.0%

Under 1.5 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals9.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.0%

Home Team to Score64.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.5%

Away Clean Sheet35.8%

Away Win to Nil31.5%

Home Clean Sheet12.0%

Home Win to Nil7.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.0%

Home Over 0.564.2%

Away Over 1.562.5%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 035.8%

Away Over 2.535.5%

Away 3+ Goals35.5%

Home Over 1.527.4%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 125.4%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Exactly 012.0%

Home Over 2.58.5%

Home 3+ Goals8.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)62.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.4%

Away to win by 123.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.1%

Away to win by 3+20.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.9%

Away to win by 218.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 111.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.4%

Home to win by 24.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.7%

Home to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.547.1%

Away & Over 2.543.6%

Away & No BTTS31.5%

Away & BTTS30.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.7%

Away & Under 2.518.8%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.8%

Draw & Under 2.513.7%

Home & Over 2.510.7%

Home & BTTS9.7%

BTTS & Under 2.59.4%

Home & No BTTS7.7%

Home & Under 2.56.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.7%

HT Under 1.558.6%

HT Away Win46.4%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Over 1.541.4%

HT/FT Away/Away40.7%

HT Draw36.2%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.3%

Equal Goals Each Half23.3%

HT Both Teams Score22.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.3%

HT Home Win17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.4%

HT/FT Home/Home9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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