South-Korea · K League 1

Gangwon FC vs Pohang Steelers

Kick-off 11:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

74% confidence

Gangwon FC 73.7% Draw 16.3% Pohang Steelers 10.0%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Gangwon FC: 8 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Gangwon FC

W L L D W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Pohang Steelers

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 3:11 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Gangwon FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Pohang Steelers 0wins

Gangwon FC 1-1 Pohang SteelersMay 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gangwon FC win73.7%

Draw16.3%

Pohang Steelers win10.0%

Over 1.5 goals90.0%

Over 2.5 goals72.9%

Over 3.5 goals52.4%

Both teams to score60.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.6%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.9%

Draw No Bet - Home87.3%

Home or Away (12)85.2%

Home Win74.3%

Both Halves Over 0.571.7%

Goal in Both Halves71.7%

Draw or Away (X2)25.5%

Draw14.6%

Draw No Bet - Away12.7%

Away Win10.9%

Exactly 1 Goal8.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals89.0%

Under 5.5 Goals81.9%

Over 2.5 Goals72.8%

Under 4.5 Goals67.1%

2-4 Goals56.1%

Over 3.5 Goals52.3%

4+ Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals47.7%

1-3 Goals45.2%

3-4 Goals39.9%

2-3 Goals36.7%

Over 4.5 Goals32.9%

Under 2.5 Goals27.2%

1-2 Goals24.7%

Exactly 3 Goals20.5%

Over 5.5 Goals18.1%

Exactly 2 Goals16.2%

Under 1.5 Goals11.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.6%

Away Team to Score63.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.7%

Home Clean Sheet36.6%

Home Win to Nil34.3%

Away Clean Sheet6.1%

Away Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.6%

Home Over 1.576.5%

Away Over 0.563.2%

Home Over 2.552.6%

Home 3+ Goals52.6%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 036.6%

Away Over 1.526.5%

Home Exactly 223.9%

Away Exactly 218.4%

Home Exactly 117.1%

Away Over 2.58.1%

Away 3+ Goals8.1%

Home Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)54.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home54.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.6%

Home to win by 3+33.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 220.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.3%

Away to win by 17.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 22.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.559.3%

BTTS & Over 2.553.0%

Home & BTTS40.0%

Home & No BTTS34.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.8%

Home & Under 2.515.0%

Draw & BTTS12.3%

Draw & Under 2.58.6%

Away & Over 2.57.5%

Away & BTTS7.0%

BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.0%

Away & No BTTS3.9%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.9%

HT Home Win56.7%

HT/FT Home/Home52.2%

HT Over 1.550.9%

HT Under 1.549.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.0%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw30.0%

HT Both Teams Score26.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.4%

HT Under 0.518.1%

HT Away Win13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Away/Away5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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