Turkey · Süper Lig

Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor

Kick-off 19:30 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

77% confidence

Gaziantep FK 7.4% Draw 15.8% Alanyaspor 76.8%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 51%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 92.6% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 7.4% on the only losing outcome.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Alanyaspor: 0 points versus 4 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

X2 · Draw or Away

92.6%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

7.4%

Only the uncovered result loses

Gaziantep FK

L L L

Form 0-0-3 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

Alanyaspor

L W D

Form 1-1-1 Goals 4:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gaziantep FK win7.4%

Draw15.8%

Alanyaspor win76.8%

Over 1.5 goals86.5%

Over 2.5 goals66.6%

Over 3.5 goals44.8%

Both teams to score50.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

91.6%

Draw or Away (X2)

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)91.5%

Draw No Bet - Away90.3%

Home or Away (12)85.8%

Away Win77.5%

Both Halves Over 0.566.8%

Goal in Both Halves66.8%

Home or Draw (1X)22.4%

Draw14.1%

Exactly 1 Goal11.1%

Draw No Bet - Home9.7%

Home Win8.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Under 5.5 Goals86.8%

Over 1.5 Goals85.5%

Under 4.5 Goals74.0%

Over 2.5 Goals66.5%

2-4 Goals59.5%

Under 3.5 Goals55.3%

1-3 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals44.7%

4+ Goals44.7%

2-3 Goals40.8%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals33.5%

1-2 Goals30.1%

Over 4.5 Goals26.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.0%

Under 1.5 Goals14.5%

Over 5.5 Goals13.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals3.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.9%

Home Team to Score53.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.7%

Away Clean Sheet46.4%

Away Win to Nil43.1%

Home Clean Sheet6.9%

Home Win to Nil3.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.9%

Away Over 1.574.4%

Home Over 0.553.5%

Away Over 2.549.6%

Away 3+ Goals49.6%

Home Exactly 046.4%

Home Exactly 135.6%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 118.5%

Home Over 1.517.9%

Home Exactly 213.6%

Away Exactly 06.9%

Home Over 2.54.3%

Home 3+ Goals4.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away91.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home81.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)77.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home64.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)56.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away56.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)43.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home43.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)34.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away34.9%

Away to win by 3+34.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home22.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.6%

Away to win by 221.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.0%

Away to win by 121.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away18.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.0%

Home to win by 16.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.8%

Home to win by 21.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.5%

Home to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.557.4%

Away & No BTTS43.1%

BTTS & Over 2.543.1%

Away & BTTS34.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.4%

Away & Under 2.520.1%

Draw & BTTS10.8%

Draw & Under 2.59.8%

BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Home & Over 2.54.9%

Home & BTTS4.6%

Draw & Over 2.54.2%

Home & No BTTS3.7%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.7%

HT Away Win58.3%

HT/FT Away/Away54.6%

HT Under 1.554.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.0%

HT Over 1.545.7%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Draw31.1%

Equal Goals Each Half22.2%

HT Under 0.521.3%

HT Both Teams Score20.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.8%

HT Home Win10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Home/Home4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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