Turkey · Süper Lig

Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe

Kick-off 18:00 · Mon, Sep 14

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

74% confidence

Gaziantep FK 9.5% Draw 16.3% Fenerbahçe 74.2%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 90.5% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 9.5% on the only losing outcome.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Fenerbahçe: 4 points versus 11 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.73 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

X2 · Draw or Away

90.5%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

9.5%

Only the uncovered result loses

Gaziantep FK

W D L L L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 1.8

Fenerbahçe

D W D L W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gaziantep FK win9.5%

Draw16.3%

Fenerbahçe win74.2%

Over 1.5 goals89.2%

Over 2.5 goals71.4%

Over 3.5 goals50.5%

Both teams to score58.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

91.7%

Draw or Away (X2)

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.5%

Draw No Bet - Away87.9%

Home or Away (12)85.2%

Away Win74.9%

Both Halves Over 0.570.5%

Goal in Both Halves70.5%

Home or Draw (1X)24.9%

Draw14.6%

Draw No Bet - Home12.1%

Home Win10.3%

Exactly 1 Goal9.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals88.2%

Under 5.5 Goals83.2%

Over 2.5 Goals71.2%

Under 4.5 Goals68.9%

2-4 Goals57.1%

Over 3.5 Goals50.4%

4+ Goals50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals49.6%

1-3 Goals46.9%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals37.8%

Over 4.5 Goals31.1%

Under 2.5 Goals28.8%

1-2 Goals26.1%

Exactly 3 Goals20.9%

Exactly 2 Goals16.9%

Over 5.5 Goals16.8%

Under 1.5 Goals11.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.4%

Home Team to Score61.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.8%

Away Clean Sheet38.7%

Away Win to Nil36.2%

Home Clean Sheet6.4%

Home Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.4%

Away Over 1.575.8%

Home Over 0.561.1%

Away Over 2.551.7%

Away 3+ Goals51.7%

Home Exactly 038.7%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Over 1.524.5%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Away Exactly 117.6%

Home Exactly 217.4%

Home Over 2.57.1%

Home 3+ Goals7.1%

Away Exactly 06.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home82.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)74.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home66.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)54.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away54.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)45.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home45.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)33.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away33.7%

Away to win by 3+33.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)24.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home24.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.7%

Away to win by 220.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.5%

Away to win by 120.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away17.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.1%

Home to win by 17.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.5%

Home to win by 22.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.8%

Home to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.558.7%

BTTS & Over 2.550.8%

Away & BTTS38.7%

Away & No BTTS36.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.5%

Away & Under 2.516.2%

Draw & BTTS12.1%

Draw & Under 2.58.9%

Home & Over 2.56.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Home & BTTS6.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.6%

Home & No BTTS3.9%

Home & Under 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.1%

HT Away Win56.9%

HT/FT Away/Away52.6%

HT Under 1.550.4%

HT Over 1.549.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.7%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw30.3%

HT Both Teams Score24.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.3%

HT Under 0.518.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.7%

HT Home Win12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.8%

HT/FT Home/Home5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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