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Turkey · Süper Lig

Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa

Kick-off 18:00 · Fri, Nov 6
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
72% confidence
Gaziantep FK 12.6% Draw 15.6% Kasımpaşa 71.8%
Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 71%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
94%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
87%
Away Win
Strongest 1X2 probability
72%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Kasımpaşa: 4 points versus 8 across the last 5 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.20 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-3
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
7.9%
Exact-score model probability
Gaziantep FK
W D L L L
Form 1-1-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 1.8
Kasımpaşa
W D W L D
Form 2-2-1 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gaziantep FK win12.6%
Draw15.6%
Kasımpaşa win71.8%
Over 1.5 goals94.1%
Over 2.5 goals81.6%
Over 3.5 goals64.3%
Both teams to score70.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)
90.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home
90.3%
Draw or Away (X2)
86.4%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)86.4%
Home or Away (12)85.3%
Draw No Bet - Away84.6%
Both Halves Over 0.578.7%
Goal in Both Halves78.7%
Away Win72.2%
Home or Draw (1X)27.3%
Draw No Bet - Home15.4%
Draw14.2%
Home Win13.1%
Exactly 1 Goal5.3%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.3%
Over 1.5 Goals93.0%
Over 2.5 Goals81.3%
Under 5.5 Goals72.1%
Over 3.5 Goals64.0%
4+ Goals64.0%
Under 4.5 Goals55.2%
Total Goals Odd49.8%
Total Goals Even49.8%
2-4 Goals48.2%
Over 4.5 Goals44.8%
3-4 Goals36.5%
Under 3.5 Goals36.0%
1-3 Goals34.4%
2-3 Goals29.1%
Over 5.5 Goals27.9%
Under 2.5 Goals18.7%
Exactly 3 Goals17.3%
1-2 Goals17.1%
Exactly 2 Goals11.7%
Under 1.5 Goals7.0%
Under 0.5 Goals1.7%
Exactly 0 Goals1.2%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score95.0%
Home Team to Score73.1%
Both Teams Score (GG)69.8%
No Both Teams Score (NG)30.2%
Away Clean Sheet26.5%
Away Win to Nil25.3%
Home Clean Sheet4.5%
Home Win to Nil3.3%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.595.0%
Away Over 1.581.0%
Home Over 0.573.1%
Away Over 2.559.3%
Away 3+ Goals59.3%
Home Over 1.538.0%
Home Exactly 135.1%
Home Exactly 026.5%
Home Exactly 223.2%
Away Exactly 221.7%
Home Over 2.514.8%
Home 3+ Goals14.8%
Away Exactly 114.0%
Away Exactly 04.5%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.9%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.7%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.4%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.3%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)86.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away86.4%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)80.3%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home80.3%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)72.2%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)65.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home65.1%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)53.4%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away53.4%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)46.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home46.1%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)34.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away34.4%
Away to win by 3+34.4%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)27.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home27.3%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.0%
Away to win by 219.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.8%
Away to win by 118.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.2%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)13.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.0%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.3%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.0%
Home to win by 18.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.5%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.1%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.1%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.5%
Home to win by 23.5%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.6%
Home to win by 3+1.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.2%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.564.8%
Away & Over 2.562.7%
Away & BTTS46.9%
Away & No BTTS25.3%
No BTTS & Over 2.516.4%
No BTTS & Under 2.513.3%
Draw & BTTS13.0%
Home & Over 2.510.5%
Home & BTTS9.8%
Away & Under 2.59.5%
Draw & Over 2.58.1%
Draw & Under 2.56.1%
BTTS & Under 2.54.9%
Home & No BTTS3.3%
Home & Under 2.52.6%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.586.3%
HT Over 1.559.1%
HT Away Win56.5%
HT/FT Away/Away51.2%
2nd Half More Goals48.5%
HT Under 1.540.9%
HT Both Teams Score33.8%
1st Half More Goals32.3%
HT Draw27.6%
Equal Goals Each Half19.2%
HT/FT Draw/Away16.8%
HT Home Win15.9%
HT Under 0.513.7%
HT/FT Home/Home7.4%
HT/FT Draw/Draw6.5%
HT/FT Home/Away4.7%
HT/FT Draw/Home4.3%
HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%
HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%
HT/FT Away/Home1.4%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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