Turkey · Süper Lig

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 51.2% Draw 21.8% Amed 27.0%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 9 points versus 6 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.3%

Exact-score model probability

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

W W W L

Form 3-0-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Amed

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gençlerbirliği S.K. win51.2%

Draw21.8%

Amed win27.0%

Over 1.5 goals91.5%

Over 2.5 goals75.7%

Over 3.5 goals56.0%

Both teams to score73.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.5%

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Home Over 0.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.0%

Both Halves Over 0.573.8%

Goal in Both Halves73.8%

Home or Draw (1X)72.0%

Draw No Bet - Home65.1%

Home Win52.1%

Draw or Away (X2)47.8%

Draw No Bet - Away34.9%

Away Win27.9%

Draw19.9%

Exactly 1 Goal7.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals90.5%

Under 5.5 Goals79.1%

Over 2.5 Goals75.6%

Under 4.5 Goals63.6%

Over 3.5 Goals55.9%

4+ Goals55.9%

2-4 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals44.1%

1-3 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals39.2%

Over 4.5 Goals36.4%

2-3 Goals34.6%

Under 2.5 Goals24.4%

1-2 Goals22.4%

Over 5.5 Goals20.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.7%

Exactly 2 Goals14.9%

Under 1.5 Goals9.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score81.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.1%

Home Clean Sheet18.9%

Home Win to Nil17.0%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil8.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 0.581.1%

Home Over 1.566.8%

Away Over 1.549.6%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Away Exactly 131.5%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Away Over 2.523.4%

Away 3+ Goals23.4%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Exactly 018.9%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 120.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.6%

Home to win by 3+16.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.1%

Away to win by 28.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.3%

Away to win by 3+5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.565.7%

Home & Over 2.542.7%

Home & BTTS35.1%

Away & Over 2.522.2%

Away & BTTS19.8%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Home & No BTTS17.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.0%

Draw & Over 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.0%

Home & Under 2.59.4%

Draw & Under 2.59.2%

Away & No BTTS8.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Away & Under 2.55.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.2%

HT Over 1.553.3%

2nd Half More Goals47.4%

HT Under 1.546.7%

HT Home Win41.5%

HT Both Teams Score34.0%

HT/FT Home/Home33.6%

HT Draw32.6%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win25.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.4%

HT Under 0.516.8%

HT/FT Away/Away16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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