Turkey · Süper Lig

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe

Kick-off 19:30 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 22.1% Draw 26.0% Fenerbahçe 51.9%

Over 2.5 - 56% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 0.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Fenerbahçe: 6 points versus 14 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.9%

Exact-score model probability

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

W W L

Form 2-0-1 Goals 6:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Fenerbahçe

W W D W D W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 11:4 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gençlerbirliği S.K. win22.1%

Draw26.0%

Fenerbahçe win51.9%

Over 1.5 goals80.2%

Over 2.5 goals55.8%

Over 3.5 goals33.4%

Both teams to score57.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.8%

Draw or Away (X2)76.5%

Draw No Bet - Away69.4%

Both Halves Over 0.558.4%

Goal in Both Halves58.4%

Away Win53.3%

Home or Draw (1X)46.6%

Draw No Bet - Home30.6%

Home Win23.5%

Draw23.1%

Exactly 1 Goal15.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.6%

Under 5.5 Goals92.4%

Under 4.5 Goals82.9%

Over 1.5 Goals78.8%

Under 3.5 Goals66.6%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals55.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.4%

Under 2.5 Goals44.2%

1-2 Goals38.8%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 3.5 Goals33.4%

4+ Goals33.4%

Exactly 2 Goals23.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals21.2%

Over 4.5 Goals17.1%

Over 5.5 Goals7.6%

Under 0.5 Goals5.4%

Exactly 0 Goals5.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score83.5%

Home Team to Score67.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.9%

Away Clean Sheet32.7%

Away Win to Nil27.3%

Home Clean Sheet16.5%

Home Win to Nil11.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.583.5%

Home Over 0.567.3%

Away Over 1.553.7%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 032.7%

Home Over 1.530.7%

Away Exactly 129.8%

Away Over 2.526.9%

Away 3+ Goals26.9%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 220.4%

Away Exactly 016.5%

Home Over 2.510.3%

Home 3+ Goals10.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away76.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)70.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home70.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)29.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away29.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.4%

Away to win by 123.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 216.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 114.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.6%

Away to win by 3+13.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.3%

Home to win by 26.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.7%

Home to win by 3+2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.545.3%

Away & Over 2.534.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.533.3%

Away & No BTTS27.3%

Away & BTTS26.0%

Away & Under 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Draw & Under 2.516.3%

Home & Over 2.514.1%

Home & BTTS12.4%

Home & No BTTS11.1%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

Home & Under 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.1%

HT Under 1.562.2%

2nd Half More Goals44.3%

HT Away Win39.9%

HT Draw39.0%

HT Over 1.537.8%

HT/FT Away/Away33.4%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Under 0.526.9%

Equal Goals Each Half24.4%

HT Both Teams Score21.9%

HT Home Win21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.4%

HT/FT Home/Home13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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