Turkey · Süper Lig

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 70.0% Draw 16.8% Kasımpaşa 13.2%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 9 points versus 5 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.25 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

W W W L

Form 3-0-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Kasımpaşa

D W L D

Form 1-2-1 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.25

Head to head · last 1

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1wins ·0 draws ·Kasımpaşa 0wins

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 3-2 KasımpaşaMay 9, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gençlerbirliği S.K. win70.0%

Draw16.8%

Kasımpaşa win13.2%

Over 1.5 goals92.4%

Over 2.5 goals77.9%

Over 3.5 goals58.9%

Both teams to score68.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

92.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.8%

Home or Away (12)84.4%

Draw No Bet - Home83.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.6%

Goal in Both Halves75.6%

Home Win70.6%

Draw or Away (X2)29.1%

Draw No Bet - Away16.4%

Draw15.3%

Away Win13.9%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals91.4%

Over 2.5 Goals77.7%

Under 5.5 Goals76.8%

Under 4.5 Goals60.7%

Over 3.5 Goals58.8%

4+ Goals58.8%

2-4 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals41.2%

Over 4.5 Goals39.3%

1-3 Goals39.3%

3-4 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals32.7%

Over 5.5 Goals23.2%

Under 2.5 Goals22.3%

1-2 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.1%

Away Team to Score71.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.9%

Home Clean Sheet28.6%

Home Win to Nil27.0%

Away Clean Sheet5.6%

Away Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.1%

Home Over 1.577.8%

Away Over 0.571.1%

Home Over 2.554.5%

Home 3+ Goals54.5%

Away Exactly 135.7%

Away Over 1.535.4%

Away Exactly 028.6%

Home Exactly 223.3%

Away Exactly 222.3%

Home Exactly 116.2%

Away Over 2.513.1%

Away 3+ Goals13.1%

Home Exactly 05.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.5%

Home to win by 3+31.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 119.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 219.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.6%

Away to win by 18.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 23.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.3%

Home & Over 2.559.2%

Home & BTTS43.6%

Home & No BTTS27.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.2%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

Home & Under 2.511.3%

Away & Over 2.510.6%

Away & BTTS9.9%

Draw & Over 2.57.8%

Draw & Under 2.57.4%

BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Away & No BTTS4.0%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.4%

HT Over 1.555.4%

HT Home Win54.6%

HT/FT Home/Home49.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.6%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score31.2%

HT Draw29.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.2%

HT Away Win16.2%

HT Under 0.515.6%

HT/FT Away/Away7.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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