Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Genk vs Kortrijk

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Genk 69.7% Draw 20.2% Kortrijk 10.0%

Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

78%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Genk: 9 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Genk 3 wins, 0 draws, Kortrijk 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Genk

W L D W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

Kortrijk

L L D W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Genk 3wins ·0 draws ·Kortrijk 2wins

Genk 3-2 KortrijkDec 7, 2024

Genk 1-2 KortrijkOct 5, 2024

Genk 4-0 KortrijkDec 17, 2023

Genk 3-0 KortrijkOct 29, 2023

Genk 0-1 KortrijkDec 26, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

Genk win69.7%

Draw20.2%

Kortrijk win10.0%

Over 1.5 goals78.3%

Over 2.5 goals63.4%

Over 3.5 goals31.6%

Both teams to score62.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.9%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)80.6%

Home or Away (12)79.5%

Draw No Bet - Home75.6%

Both Halves Over 0.563.7%

Goal in Both Halves63.7%

Home Win60.1%

Draw or Away (X2)39.9%

Draw No Bet - Away24.4%

Draw20.5%

Away Win19.4%

Exactly 1 Goal12.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.0%

Under 5.5 Goals89.1%

Over 1.5 Goals83.3%

Under 4.5 Goals77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals62.7%

2-4 Goals60.8%

Under 3.5 Goals59.6%

1-3 Goals55.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.8%

Over 3.5 Goals40.4%

4+ Goals40.4%

3-4 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals37.3%

1-2 Goals33.4%

Over 4.5 Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Exactly 2 Goals20.6%

Under 1.5 Goals16.7%

Over 5.5 Goals10.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.0%

Exactly 0 Goals3.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.9%

Away Team to Score67.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.8%

Home Clean Sheet32.6%

Home Win to Nil28.7%

Away Clean Sheet12.1%

Away Win to Nil8.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.9%

Away Over 0.567.3%

Home Over 1.562.3%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Home Over 2.535.4%

Home 3+ Goals35.4%

Away Exactly 032.6%

Away Over 1.530.8%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.5%

Away Exactly 220.5%

Home Exactly 012.1%

Away Over 2.510.4%

Away 3+ Goals10.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)39.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away39.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.9%

Home to win by 122.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.0%

Home to win by 3+19.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 218.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.2%

Away to win by 112.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.1%

Away to win by 25.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.9%

Home & Over 2.542.9%

Home & BTTS31.4%

Home & No BTTS28.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.0%

Home & Under 2.517.1%

Draw & BTTS16.5%

Draw & Under 2.513.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.8%

Away & Over 2.512.5%

Away & BTTS11.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Away & No BTTS8.1%

Draw & Over 2.57.2%

Away & Under 2.56.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.7%

HT Under 1.557.3%

2nd Half More Goals45.4%

HT Home Win45.1%

HT Over 1.542.7%

HT/FT Home/Home39.0%

HT Draw35.9%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Both Teams Score24.3%

HT Under 0.523.3%

Equal Goals Each Half23.0%

HT Away Win18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.3%

HT/FT Away/Away10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions