Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Genk vs KVC Westerlo

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Genk 57.8% Draw 23.5% KVC Westerlo 18.7%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 43%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 15.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Genk: 9 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Genk 4 wins, 1 draws, KVC Westerlo 0 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.4%

Exact-score model probability

Genk

L D W D D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.33

KVC Westerlo

L L L W L D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:15 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 5

Genk 4wins ·1 draws ·KVC Westerlo 0wins

Genk 3-0 KVC WesterloMay 10, 2026

Genk 2-1 KVC WesterloApr 18, 2026

Genk 1-1 KVC WesterloDec 14, 2025

Genk 1-0 KVC WesterloNov 2, 2025

Genk 2-1 KVC WesterloJan 25, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Genk win57.8%

Draw23.5%

KVC Westerlo win18.7%

Over 1.5 goals82.0%

Over 2.5 goals50.9%

Over 3.5 goals36.6%

Both teams to score43.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.1%

Draw No Bet - Home86.3%

Home or Away (12)79.5%

Home Win68.6%

Both Halves Over 0.550.9%

Goal in Both Halves50.9%

Draw or Away (X2)31.4%

Draw20.5%

Exactly 1 Goal20.3%

Draw No Bet - Away13.7%

Away Win10.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.7%

Over 0.5 Goals91.9%

Under 4.5 Goals88.9%

Under 3.5 Goals75.3%

Over 1.5 Goals71.7%

1-3 Goals67.3%

2-4 Goals60.5%

Under 2.5 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.1%

1-2 Goals45.8%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 1.5 Goals28.3%

Exactly 2 Goals25.5%

Over 3.5 Goals24.7%

4+ Goals24.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals11.1%

Under 0.5 Goals8.1%

Exactly 0 Goals8.0%

Over 5.5 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)61.2%

Home Clean Sheet54.5%

Home Win to Nil46.5%

Away Team to Score45.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)38.8%

Away Clean Sheet14.7%

Away Win to Nil6.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.2%

Home Over 1.557.0%

Away Exactly 054.5%

Away Over 0.545.5%

Away Exactly 133.1%

Home Over 2.530.0%

Home 3+ Goals30.0%

Home Exactly 128.2%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 014.7%

Away Over 1.512.4%

Away Exactly 210.0%

Away Over 2.52.4%

Away 3+ Goals2.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)42.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home42.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.2%

Home to win by 126.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.3%

Home to win by 221.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.0%

Home to win by 3+21.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.3%

Away to win by 18.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

Away to win by 22.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS46.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.544.5%

Home & Over 2.538.5%

Home & Under 2.530.1%

BTTS & Over 2.529.4%

Home & BTTS22.1%

Draw & Under 2.517.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.7%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Away & No BTTS6.7%

Away & Under 2.56.4%

Away & Over 2.54.6%

Away & BTTS4.2%

Draw & Over 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.6%

HT Over 0.567.8%

HT Home Win48.5%

HT/FT Home/Home44.7%

2nd Half More Goals42.7%

HT Draw40.2%

HT Under 0.532.2%

HT Over 1.531.4%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.9%

HT Both Teams Score13.8%

HT Away Win11.3%

HT/FT Away/Away5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions