Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Genk vs SK Beveren

Kick-off 19:45 · Fri, Aug 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Genk 52.8% Draw 27.8% SK Beveren 19.5%

Over 2.5 - 43% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.5%

Exact-score model probability

Genk

W L D W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

SK Beveren

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Genk win52.8%

Draw27.8%

SK Beveren win19.5%

Over 1.5 goals70.6%

Over 2.5 goals43.3%

Over 3.5 goals22.4%

Both teams to score45.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.0%

Under 4.5 Goals

90.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)81.5%

Draw No Bet - Home75.3%

Home or Away (12)75.1%

Home Win56.6%

Both Halves Over 0.548.6%

Goal in Both Halves48.6%

Draw or Away (X2)43.4%

Draw24.9%

Draw No Bet - Away24.7%

Exactly 1 Goal21.6%

Away Win18.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.4%

Over 0.5 Goals91.0%

Under 4.5 Goals90.3%

Under 3.5 Goals77.7%

Over 1.5 Goals69.4%

1-3 Goals68.7%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 2.5 Goals56.7%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals43.3%

3-4 Goals33.6%

Under 1.5 Goals30.6%

Exactly 2 Goals26.1%

Over 3.5 Goals22.3%

4+ Goals22.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Over 4.5 Goals9.7%

Under 0.5 Goals9.0%

Exactly 0 Goals9.0%

Over 5.5 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.9%

Away Team to Score55.1%

Home Clean Sheet44.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.1%

Home Win to Nil35.9%

Away Clean Sheet20.0%

Away Win to Nil11.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.0%

Away Over 0.555.1%

Home Over 1.547.8%

Away Exactly 044.9%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Home Exactly 132.2%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Home Over 2.521.9%

Home 3+ Goals21.9%

Home Exactly 020.0%

Away Over 1.519.1%

Away Exactly 214.4%

Away Over 2.54.7%

Away 3+ Goals4.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.0%

Home to win by 126.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 217.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.1%

Home to win by 3+13.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 112.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.3%

Away to win by 24.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.1%

Home & No BTTS35.9%

BTTS & Over 2.532.5%

Home & Over 2.530.5%

Home & Under 2.526.1%

Home & BTTS20.7%

Draw & Under 2.520.5%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

Away & No BTTS11.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.8%

Away & Under 2.510.1%

Away & Over 2.58.5%

Away & BTTS7.5%

Draw & Over 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.5%

HT Over 0.566.2%

HT Draw43.2%

2nd Half More Goals42.1%

HT Home Win40.3%

HT/FT Home/Home35.1%

HT Under 0.533.8%

1st Half More Goals30.5%

HT Over 1.529.5%

Equal Goals Each Half27.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.2%

HT Away Win16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.4%

HT Both Teams Score15.6%

HT/FT Away/Away10.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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