Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Genk vs Standard Liege

Kick-off 13:30 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Genk 52.3% Draw 28.2% Standard Liege 19.4%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Head-to-head record: Genk 1 wins, 2 draws, Standard Liege 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.8%

Exact-score model probability

Genk

W L D W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

Standard Liege

D D L W D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Genk 1wins ·2 draws ·Standard Liege 2wins

Genk 0-0 Standard LiegeMay 16, 2026

Genk 1-1 Standard LiegeApr 25, 2026

Genk 0-3 Standard LiegeFeb 22, 2026

Genk 1-2 Standard LiegeAug 10, 2025

Genk 2-1 Standard LiegeFeb 14, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Genk win52.3%

Draw28.2%

Standard Liege win19.4%

Over 1.5 goals69.6%

Over 2.5 goals73.2%

Over 3.5 goals21.4%

Both teams to score73.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

92.0%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.2%

Draw or Away (X2)63.4%

Both Halves Over 0.561.8%

Goal in Both Halves61.8%

Home or Draw (1X)60.3%

Draw No Bet - Away52.0%

Draw No Bet - Home48.0%

Away Win39.7%

Home Win36.6%

Draw23.8%

Exactly 1 Goal13.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Under 5.5 Goals90.4%

Over 1.5 Goals81.7%

Under 4.5 Goals79.5%

Under 3.5 Goals62.1%

2-4 Goals61.3%

Over 2.5 Goals60.2%

1-3 Goals57.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.9%

Under 2.5 Goals39.8%

3-4 Goals39.8%

Over 3.5 Goals37.9%

4+ Goals37.9%

1-2 Goals35.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals20.5%

Under 1.5 Goals18.3%

Over 5.5 Goals9.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score79.7%

Home Team to Score78.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.7%

Away Clean Sheet21.8%

Home Clean Sheet20.3%

Away Win to Nil17.4%

Home Win to Nil15.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.579.7%

Home Over 0.578.2%

Away Over 1.547.3%

Home Over 1.544.9%

Home Exactly 133.2%

Away Exactly 132.4%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 021.8%

Away Over 2.521.5%

Away 3+ Goals21.5%

Away Exactly 020.3%

Home Over 2.519.7%

Home 3+ Goals19.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.9%

Away to win by 119.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 119.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 211.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 210.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.0%

Away to win by 3+8.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.8%

Home to win by 3+6.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.551.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.0%

Away & Over 2.527.0%

Home & Over 2.524.7%

Away & BTTS22.3%

Home & BTTS20.7%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS17.4%

Home & No BTTS15.9%

Draw & Under 2.515.2%

Away & Under 2.512.7%

Home & Under 2.511.9%

BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.4%

HT Under 1.559.1%

2nd Half More Goals45.0%

HT Over 1.540.9%

HT Draw38.3%

HT Away Win31.8%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Home Win29.9%

HT Both Teams Score25.4%

HT Under 0.524.6%

HT/FT Away/Away23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half23.5%

HT/FT Home/Home21.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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