Italy · Serie A

Genoa vs Venezia

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Genoa 53.3% Draw 26.8% Venezia 19.9%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Genoa: 4 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Genoa 1 wins, 2 draws, Venezia 1 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Genoa

L W L D L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Venezia

W L L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 6:14 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 4

Genoa 1wins ·2 draws ·Venezia 1wins

Genoa 2-0 VeneziaFeb 17, 2025

Genoa 0-2 VeneziaSep 21, 2024

Genoa 1-1 VeneziaFeb 20, 2022

Genoa 0-0 VeneziaOct 31, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Genoa win53.3%

Draw26.8%

Venezia win19.9%

Over 1.5 goals66.2%

Over 2.5 goals83.4%

Over 3.5 goals19.3%

Both teams to score81.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.7%

Both Halves Over 0.567.7%

Goal in Both Halves67.7%

Home or Draw (1X)61.6%

Draw or Away (X2)60.6%

Draw No Bet - Home50.6%

Draw No Bet - Away49.4%

Home Win39.3%

Away Win38.4%

Draw22.3%

Exactly 1 Goal10.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.4%

Under 5.5 Goals85.8%

Under 4.5 Goals72.6%

Over 2.5 Goals67.9%

2-4 Goals59.0%

Under 3.5 Goals53.7%

1-3 Goals50.7%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.3%

4+ Goals46.3%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.1%

Under 2.5 Goals32.1%

1-2 Goals29.1%

Over 4.5 Goals27.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.5%

Over 5.5 Goals14.2%

Under 1.5 Goals13.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score82.8%

Away Team to Score82.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.8%

Home Clean Sheet17.6%

Away Clean Sheet17.2%

Home Win to Nil14.6%

Away Win to Nil14.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.582.8%

Away Over 0.582.4%

Home Over 1.552.5%

Away Over 1.551.8%

Away Exactly 130.6%

Home Exactly 130.3%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Home Over 2.525.9%

Home 3+ Goals25.9%

Away Over 2.525.2%

Away 3+ Goals25.2%

Away Exactly 017.6%

Home Exactly 017.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 118.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.6%

Away to win by 118.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.7%

Home to win by 211.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.4%

Away to win by 211.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.7%

Home to win by 3+8.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.3%

Away to win by 3+8.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.0%

Home & Over 2.529.3%

Away & Over 2.528.5%

Home & BTTS24.8%

Away & BTTS24.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.9%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS14.6%

Away & No BTTS14.2%

Draw & Under 2.512.3%

Home & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

Away & Under 2.59.8%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.3%

HT Under 1.553.3%

HT Over 1.546.7%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

HT Draw35.7%

HT Home Win32.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Away Win31.8%

HT Both Teams Score29.7%

HT/FT Home/Home23.9%

HT/FT Away/Away23.3%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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