Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Gent vs Anderlecht

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Gent 40.8% Draw 27.7% Anderlecht 31.5%

Over 2.5 - 36% BTTS - 43%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Anderlecht: 14 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.8%

Exact-score model probability

Gent

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

Anderlecht

W W L W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Gent 1wins ·1 draws ·Anderlecht 3wins

Gent 1-1 AnderlechtMay 10, 2026

Gent 1-3 AnderlechtApr 12, 2026

Gent 4-2 AnderlechtJan 18, 2026

Gent 0-1 AnderlechtSep 23, 2025

Gent 0-1 AnderlechtApr 27, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gent win40.8%

Draw27.7%

Anderlecht win31.5%

Over 1.5 goals77.4%

Over 2.5 goals35.8%

Over 3.5 goals30.0%

Both teams to score43.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.7%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

86.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.1%

Draw or Away (X2)67.5%

Home or Draw (1X)59.4%

Draw No Bet - Away55.5%

Both Halves Over 0.550.3%

Goal in Both Halves50.3%

Draw No Bet - Home44.5%

Away Win40.6%

Home Win32.5%

Draw26.9%

Exactly 1 Goal20.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.9%

Over 0.5 Goals91.7%

Under 4.5 Goals89.2%

Under 3.5 Goals76.0%

Over 1.5 Goals71.1%

1-3 Goals67.7%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 2.5 Goals54.6%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals46.3%

Over 2.5 Goals45.4%

3-4 Goals34.6%

Under 1.5 Goals28.9%

Exactly 2 Goals25.7%

Over 3.5 Goals24.0%

4+ Goals24.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Over 4.5 Goals10.8%

Under 0.5 Goals8.3%

Exactly 0 Goals8.3%

Over 5.5 Goals4.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score73.6%

Home Team to Score68.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.5%

Away Clean Sheet31.3%

Home Clean Sheet26.4%

Away Win to Nil23.0%

Home Win to Nil18.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.573.6%

Home Over 0.568.7%

Away Over 1.538.4%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Away Exactly 135.2%

Home Over 1.532.3%

Home Exactly 031.3%

Away Exactly 026.4%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Home Exactly 221.1%

Away Over 2.515.0%

Away 3+ Goals15.0%

Home Over 2.511.2%

Home 3+ Goals11.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.0%

Away to win by 122.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 119.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.9%

Away to win by 211.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.1%

Home to win by 29.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.6%

Away to win by 3+6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.2%

Home to win by 3+4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.541.8%

BTTS & Over 2.537.7%

Away & No BTTS23.0%

Away & Over 2.522.2%

Draw & Under 2.521.1%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

Away & Under 2.518.3%

Home & No BTTS18.2%

Away & BTTS17.5%

Home & Over 2.517.3%

Home & Under 2.515.2%

Home & BTTS14.3%

BTTS & Under 2.512.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.7%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.1%

HT Over 0.567.4%

HT Draw43.6%

2nd Half More Goals42.5%

HT Under 0.532.6%

HT Over 1.530.9%

HT Away Win30.7%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.8%

HT Home Win25.7%

HT/FT Away/Away23.8%

HT/FT Home/Home18.6%

HT Both Teams Score18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions