UEFA Europa Conference League

Gent vs Hibernian

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Gent 34.2% Draw 40.5% Hibernian 25.3%

Over 2.5 - 18% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 23.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Gent: 12 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

23.5%

Exact-score model probability

Gent

W D W W D D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 6:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.33

Hibernian

D W W L W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gent win34.2%

Draw40.5%

Hibernian win25.3%

Over 1.5 goals44.0%

Over 2.5 goals17.8%

Over 3.5 goals5.9%

Both teams to score27.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.3%

HT Under 1.5

86.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)73.2%

Draw or Away (X2)64.2%

Home or Away (12)62.6%

Draw No Bet - Home57.2%

Draw No Bet - Away42.8%

Draw37.4%

Home Win35.8%

Exactly 1 Goal34.0%

Away Win26.8%

Both Halves Over 0.526.3%

Goal in Both Halves26.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.6%

Under 4.5 Goals98.4%

Under 3.5 Goals94.1%

Under 2.5 Goals82.2%

Over 0.5 Goals76.5%

1-3 Goals70.6%

1-2 Goals58.7%

Under 1.5 Goals57.5%

Total Goals Even52.8%

Total Goals Odd47.2%

Over 1.5 Goals42.5%

2-4 Goals40.8%

2-3 Goals36.5%

Exactly 2 Goals24.6%

Under 0.5 Goals23.5%

Exactly 0 Goals23.5%

Over 2.5 Goals17.8%

3-4 Goals16.2%

Exactly 3 Goals11.9%

Over 3.5 Goals5.9%

4+ Goals5.9%

Over 4.5 Goals1.6%

Over 5.5 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.7%

Home Team to Score55.1%

Home Clean Sheet52.3%

Away Team to Score47.7%

Away Clean Sheet44.9%

Home Win to Nil28.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.3%

Away Win to Nil21.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.555.1%

Away Exactly 052.3%

Away Over 0.547.7%

Home Exactly 044.9%

Home Exactly 135.9%

Away Exactly 133.9%

Home Over 1.519.1%

Home Exactly 214.4%

Away Over 1.513.8%

Away Exactly 211.0%

Home Over 2.54.7%

Home 3+ Goals4.7%

Away Over 2.52.8%

Away 3+ Goals2.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)73.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home73.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.1%

Home to win by 124.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.5%

Away to win by 119.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.9%

Home to win by 28.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 25.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.8%

Home to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.4%

Away to win by 3+1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.570.0%

Draw & Under 2.535.7%

Home & No BTTS28.8%

Home & Under 2.526.3%

Away & No BTTS21.4%

Away & Under 2.520.2%

BTTS & Over 2.514.1%

Draw & BTTS13.9%

BTTS & Under 2.512.2%

Home & Over 2.59.5%

Home & BTTS7.0%

Away & Over 2.56.6%

Away & BTTS5.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.7%

Draw & Over 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.586.1%

HT Draw57.7%

HT Under 0.552.1%

HT Over 0.547.9%

Equal Goals Each Half37.4%

2nd Half More Goals35.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw30.3%

1st Half More Goals27.0%

HT Home Win23.7%

HT/FT Home/Home19.5%

HT Away Win18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.5%

HT/FT Away/Away14.1%

HT Over 1.513.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%

HT Both Teams Score7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home0.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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