UEFA Europa Conference League

Gent vs IFK Goteborg

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Gent 38.0% Draw 40.1% IFK Goteborg 21.9%

Over 2.5 - 18% BTTS - 27%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 23.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Gent: 9 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

23.6%

Exact-score model probability

Gent

W W D D D L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 0.83

IFK Goteborg

L W L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 4:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Gent 1wins ·0 draws ·IFK Goteborg 0wins

Gent 1-0 IFK GoteborgAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gent win38.0%

Draw40.1%

IFK Goteborg win21.9%

Over 1.5 goals43.9%

Over 2.5 goals17.8%

Over 3.5 goals5.9%

Both teams to score27.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

86.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

86.2%

HT Under 1.5

86.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)76.6%

Home or Away (12)63.0%

Draw No Bet - Home62.8%

Draw or Away (X2)60.5%

Home Win39.5%

Draw No Bet - Away37.2%

Draw37.0%

Exactly 1 Goal34.1%

Both Halves Over 0.526.2%

Goal in Both Halves26.2%

Away Win23.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.6%

Under 4.5 Goals98.4%

Under 3.5 Goals94.1%

Under 2.5 Goals82.2%

Over 0.5 Goals76.4%

1-3 Goals70.5%

1-2 Goals58.7%

Under 1.5 Goals57.6%

Total Goals Even52.8%

Total Goals Odd47.2%

Over 1.5 Goals42.4%

2-4 Goals40.8%

2-3 Goals36.5%

Exactly 2 Goals24.6%

Under 0.5 Goals23.6%

Exactly 0 Goals23.6%

Over 2.5 Goals17.8%

3-4 Goals16.2%

Exactly 3 Goals11.9%

Over 3.5 Goals5.9%

4+ Goals5.9%

Over 4.5 Goals1.6%

Over 5.5 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)74.4%

Home Team to Score57.6%

Home Clean Sheet55.6%

Away Team to Score44.4%

Away Clean Sheet42.4%

Home Win to Nil32.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)25.6%

Away Win to Nil18.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.557.6%

Away Exactly 055.6%

Away Over 0.544.4%

Home Exactly 042.4%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Away Exactly 132.6%

Home Over 1.521.3%

Home Exactly 215.6%

Away Over 1.511.8%

Away Exactly 29.6%

Home Over 2.55.6%

Home 3+ Goals5.6%

Away Over 2.52.2%

Away 3+ Goals2.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.8%

Home to win by 125.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.6%

Away to win by 117.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 210.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.8%

Away to win by 24.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.5%

Home to win by 3+3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.570.4%

Draw & Under 2.535.4%

Home & No BTTS32.0%

Home & Under 2.528.9%

Away & No BTTS18.8%

Away & Under 2.517.9%

BTTS & Over 2.513.7%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Home & Over 2.510.6%

Home & BTTS7.5%

Away & Over 2.55.6%

Away & BTTS4.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.1%

Draw & Over 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.586.1%

HT Draw57.6%

HT Under 0.552.2%

HT Over 0.547.8%

Equal Goals Each Half37.4%

2nd Half More Goals35.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw30.1%

1st Half More Goals27.0%

HT Home Win25.8%

HT/FT Home/Home21.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT Away Win16.6%

HT Over 1.513.9%

HT/FT Away/Away12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.6%

HT Both Teams Score7.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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