Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Gent vs Kortrijk

Kick-off 16:00 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Gent 64.8% Draw 22.8% Kortrijk 12.4%

Over 2.5 - 33% BTTS - 41%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gent: 14 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Gent 4 wins, 0 draws, Kortrijk 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.6%

Exact-score model probability

Gent

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

Kortrijk

L L D W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Gent 4wins ·0 draws ·Kortrijk 1wins

Gent 1-2 KortrijkMar 16, 2025

Gent 1-0 KortrijkJul 28, 2024

Gent 2-0 KortrijkDec 26, 2023

Gent 3-2 KortrijkJul 30, 2023

Gent 2-1 KortrijkJan 15, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gent win64.8%

Draw22.8%

Kortrijk win12.4%

Over 1.5 goals75.7%

Over 2.5 goals33.3%

Over 3.5 goals28.2%

Both teams to score40.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

90.8%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)80.7%

Home or Away (12)74.6%

Draw No Bet - Home74.2%

Home Win55.4%

Both Halves Over 0.547.8%

Goal in Both Halves47.8%

Draw or Away (X2)44.6%

Draw No Bet - Away25.8%

Draw25.4%

Exactly 1 Goal22.1%

Away Win19.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.6%

Under 4.5 Goals90.8%

Over 0.5 Goals90.7%

Under 3.5 Goals78.5%

1-3 Goals69.1%

Over 1.5 Goals68.5%

2-4 Goals59.3%

Under 2.5 Goals57.7%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals48.4%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals42.3%

3-4 Goals33.1%

Under 1.5 Goals31.5%

Exactly 2 Goals26.2%

Over 3.5 Goals21.5%

4+ Goals21.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.8%

Under 0.5 Goals9.3%

Exactly 0 Goals9.3%

Over 4.5 Goals9.2%

Over 5.5 Goals3.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.2%

Away Team to Score55.3%

Home Clean Sheet44.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.8%

Home Win to Nil35.3%

Away Clean Sheet20.9%

Away Win to Nil11.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.1%

Away Over 0.555.3%

Home Over 1.546.4%

Away Exactly 044.7%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Home Exactly 132.7%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Home Exactly 020.9%

Home Over 2.520.8%

Home 3+ Goals20.8%

Away Over 1.519.3%

Away Exactly 214.5%

Away Over 2.54.8%

Away 3+ Goals4.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.0%

Home to win by 126.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.4%

Away to win by 113.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.3%

Home to win by 3+12.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.5%

Away to win by 24.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.4%

Away to win by 3+1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.9%

Home & No BTTS35.3%

BTTS & Over 2.532.0%

Home & Over 2.529.3%

Home & Under 2.526.0%

Draw & Under 2.521.1%

Home & BTTS20.0%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

BTTS & Under 2.511.8%

Away & No BTTS11.6%

Away & Under 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Away & Over 2.58.7%

Away & BTTS7.7%

Draw & Over 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.571.1%

HT Over 0.565.6%

HT Draw43.8%

2nd Half More Goals42.0%

HT Home Win39.3%

HT Under 0.534.4%

HT/FT Home/Home34.1%

1st Half More Goals30.4%

HT Over 1.528.9%

Equal Goals Each Half27.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.0%

HT Away Win16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.9%

HT Both Teams Score15.4%

HT/FT Away/Away10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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