Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Gent vs OH Leuven

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Sep 3

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Gent 55.7% Draw 26.5% OH Leuven 17.7%

Over 2.5 - 46% BTTS - 37%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

57%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 12.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Gent: 14 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Gent 1 wins, 1 draws, OH Leuven 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.8%

Exact-score model probability

Gent

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

OH Leuven

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Gent 1wins ·1 draws ·OH Leuven 3wins

Gent 1-3 OH LeuvenFeb 7, 2026

Gent 0-4 OH LeuvenNov 2, 2025

Gent 0-0 OH LeuvenJan 26, 2025

Gent 3-0 OH LeuvenSep 29, 2024

Gent 0-1 OH LeuvenMay 12, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gent win55.7%

Draw26.5%

OH Leuven win17.7%

Over 1.5 goals72.1%

Over 2.5 goals46.3%

Over 3.5 goals24.0%

Both teams to score36.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.9%

Under 4.5 Goals

88.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)78.0%

Home or Away (12)74.9%

Draw No Bet - Home70.7%

Home Win52.9%

Both Halves Over 0.550.8%

Goal in Both Halves50.8%

Draw or Away (X2)47.1%

Draw No Bet - Away29.3%

Draw25.1%

Away Win21.9%

Exactly 1 Goal20.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.7%

Over 0.5 Goals91.9%

Under 4.5 Goals88.9%

Under 3.5 Goals75.4%

Over 1.5 Goals71.7%

1-3 Goals67.3%

2-4 Goals60.5%

Under 2.5 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.1%

1-2 Goals45.8%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 1.5 Goals28.3%

Exactly 2 Goals25.6%

Over 3.5 Goals24.6%

4+ Goals24.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals11.1%

Under 0.5 Goals8.1%

Exactly 0 Goals8.1%

Over 5.5 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.6%

Away Team to Score60.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.1%

Home Clean Sheet39.6%

Home Win to Nil31.5%

Away Clean Sheet20.4%

Away Win to Nil12.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.6%

Away Over 0.560.4%

Home Over 1.547.2%

Away Exactly 039.6%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 132.4%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Away Over 1.523.7%

Home Over 2.521.5%

Home 3+ Goals21.5%

Home Exactly 020.4%

Away Exactly 217.0%

Away Over 2.56.7%

Away 3+ Goals6.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.9%

Home to win by 124.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 216.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.5%

Away to win by 114.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.8%

Home to win by 3+11.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 25.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.542.0%

BTTS & Over 2.536.2%

Home & No BTTS31.5%

Home & Over 2.529.9%

Home & Under 2.523.0%

Home & BTTS21.4%

Draw & Under 2.519.9%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

Away & No BTTS12.3%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Away & Over 2.511.0%

Away & Under 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.9%

Away & BTTS9.6%

Draw & Over 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.7%

HT Over 0.567.8%

2nd Half More Goals42.7%

HT Draw42.6%

HT Home Win38.4%

HT/FT Home/Home32.5%

HT Under 0.532.2%

HT Over 1.531.3%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.6%

HT Away Win19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.0%

HT Both Teams Score17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.0%

HT/FT Away/Away12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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