Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Gent vs Standard Liege

Kick-off 19:45 · Fri, Sep 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Gent 47.3% Draw 29.8% Standard Liege 22.8%

Over 2.5 - 39% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gent: 14 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.8%

Exact-score model probability

Gent

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

Standard Liege

D D L W D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Gent 5wins ·0 draws ·Standard Liege 0wins

Gent 4-0 Standard LiegeJan 23, 2026

Gent 4-0 Standard LiegeOct 25, 2025

Gent 1-0 Standard LiegeDec 22, 2024

Gent 5-0 Standard LiegeNov 10, 2024

Gent 4-1 Standard LiegeMay 18, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gent win47.3%

Draw29.8%

Standard Liege win22.8%

Over 1.5 goals67.4%

Over 2.5 goals39.4%

Over 3.5 goals19.5%

Both teams to score47.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.4%

Home Team to Score

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.3%

Draw No Bet - Home83.0%

Home or Away (12)80.4%

Home Win66.7%

Both Halves Over 0.558.6%

Goal in Both Halves58.6%

Draw or Away (X2)33.2%

Draw19.6%

Draw No Bet - Away17.0%

Exactly 1 Goal15.6%

Away Win13.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.6%

Under 5.5 Goals92.3%

Under 4.5 Goals82.7%

Over 1.5 Goals79.0%

Under 3.5 Goals66.3%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals61.0%

Over 2.5 Goals56.1%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.3%

Under 2.5 Goals43.9%

3-4 Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals38.6%

Over 3.5 Goals33.7%

4+ Goals33.7%

Exactly 2 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals21.0%

Over 4.5 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals7.7%

Under 0.5 Goals5.4%

Exactly 0 Goals5.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.7%

Away Team to Score56.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.4%

Home Clean Sheet43.6%

Home Win to Nil38.3%

Away Clean Sheet12.2%

Away Win to Nil6.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.7%

Home Over 1.562.0%

Away Over 0.556.3%

Away Exactly 043.6%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Home Over 2.535.0%

Home 3+ Goals35.0%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.7%

Away Over 1.520.2%

Away Exactly 215.0%

Home Exactly 012.2%

Away Over 2.55.2%

Away 3+ Goals5.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)42.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home42.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.3%

Home to win by 124.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.1%

Home to win by 3+22.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 220.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.6%

Away to win by 19.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 23.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.543.7%

BTTS & Over 2.540.1%

Home & No BTTS38.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.534.6%

Home & BTTS28.4%

Home & Under 2.523.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.9%

Draw & Under 2.514.6%

Draw & BTTS14.2%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Over 2.57.4%

Away & No BTTS6.9%

Away & BTTS6.8%

Away & Under 2.56.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.2%

HT Under 1.562.0%

HT Home Win48.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.3%

HT/FT Home/Home43.9%

HT Over 1.538.0%

HT Draw37.1%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Under 0.526.8%

Equal Goals Each Half24.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.8%

HT Both Teams Score19.0%

HT Away Win14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.8%

HT/FT Away/Away7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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