UEFA Europa Conference League

Getafe vs Brighton

Kick-off 21:00 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Getafe 17.8% Draw 24.0% Brighton 58.2%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Brighton: 5 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10%

Exact-score model probability

Getafe

W L D L D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Brighton

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 16:2 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 0.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Getafe win17.8%

Draw24.0%

Brighton win58.2%

Over 1.5 goals81.6%

Over 2.5 goals57.9%

Over 3.5 goals35.5%

Both teams to score56.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.5%

Away Team to Score

86.2%

Away Over 0.5

86.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)80.8%

Home or Away (12)78.6%

Draw No Bet - Away75.7%

Both Halves Over 0.560.0%

Goal in Both Halves60.0%

Away Win59.4%

Home or Draw (1X)40.5%

Draw No Bet - Home24.3%

Draw21.4%

Home Win19.1%

Exactly 1 Goal14.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.1%

Under 5.5 Goals91.5%

Under 4.5 Goals81.4%

Over 1.5 Goals80.2%

Under 3.5 Goals64.5%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.6%

Over 2.5 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.7%

Under 2.5 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals39.3%

1-2 Goals37.1%

Over 3.5 Goals35.5%

4+ Goals35.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals19.8%

Over 4.5 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.9%

Exactly 0 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.2%

Home Team to Score64.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.6%

Away Clean Sheet35.7%

Away Win to Nil30.8%

Home Clean Sheet13.8%

Home Win to Nil8.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.2%

Home Over 0.564.3%

Away Over 1.558.9%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 035.7%

Away Over 2.531.8%

Away 3+ Goals31.8%

Home Over 1.527.5%

Away Exactly 127.3%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Exactly 013.8%

Home Over 2.58.6%

Home 3+ Goals8.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away80.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home64.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)35.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away35.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.7%

Away to win by 123.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.2%

Away to win by 218.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.5%

Away to win by 3+17.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.3%

Home to win by 112.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.9%

Home to win by 24.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.9%

Home to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.545.4%

Away & Over 2.540.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.0%

Away & No BTTS30.8%

Away & BTTS28.7%

Away & Under 2.519.4%

Draw & BTTS16.5%

Draw & Under 2.515.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.5%

Home & Over 2.511.4%

Home & BTTS10.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Home & No BTTS8.9%

Home & Under 2.57.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.2%

HT Under 1.560.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT Away Win44.1%

HT Over 1.539.3%

HT/FT Away/Away38.2%

HT Draw37.6%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.525.8%

Equal Goals Each Half24.0%

HT Both Teams Score21.9%

HT Home Win18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.3%

HT/FT Home/Home10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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