Spain · La Liga

Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna

Kick-off 17:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Getafe 37.1% Draw 33.4% Deportivo La Coruna 29.5%

Over 2.5 - 26% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Getafe: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Getafe

D L W W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Deportivo La Coruna

W W D D

Form 2-2-0 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.25

📈 Probability Breakdown

Getafe win37.1%

Draw33.4%

Deportivo La Coruna win29.5%

Over 1.5 goals52.3%

Over 2.5 goals25.6%

Over 3.5 goals10.1%

Both teams to score71.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.1%

Both Halves Over 0.569.3%

Goal in Both Halves69.3%

Home or Draw (1X)61.2%

Draw or Away (X2)60.7%

Draw No Bet - Home50.3%

Draw No Bet - Away49.7%

Home Win39.3%

Away Win38.8%

Draw21.9%

Exactly 1 Goal9.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.5%

Under 5.5 Goals84.3%

Under 4.5 Goals70.5%

Over 2.5 Goals69.9%

2-4 Goals58.0%

Under 3.5 Goals51.3%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 3.5 Goals48.7%

4+ Goals48.7%

1-3 Goals48.6%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals38.8%

Under 2.5 Goals30.1%

Over 4.5 Goals29.5%

1-2 Goals27.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals17.6%

Over 5.5 Goals15.7%

Under 1.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.6%

Away Team to Score83.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.2%

Home Clean Sheet16.5%

Away Clean Sheet16.3%

Home Win to Nil13.8%

Away Win to Nil13.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.6%

Away Over 0.583.4%

Home Over 1.554.0%

Away Over 1.553.7%

Away Exactly 129.8%

Home Exactly 129.6%

Home Over 2.527.2%

Home 3+ Goals27.2%

Away Over 2.526.9%

Away 3+ Goals26.9%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 016.5%

Home Exactly 016.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.6%

Home to win by 118.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.5%

Away to win by 118.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.7%

Home to win by 211.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 211.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.0%

Home to win by 3+9.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.8%

Away to win by 3+8.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.0%

Home & Over 2.529.9%

Away & Over 2.529.6%

Home & BTTS25.4%

Away & BTTS25.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.3%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Home & No BTTS13.8%

Away & No BTTS13.6%

Draw & Under 2.511.5%

Draw & Over 2.510.4%

Home & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Under 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.3%

HT Under 1.551.7%

HT Over 1.548.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Draw35.0%

HT Home Win32.6%

HT Away Win32.4%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score30.9%

HT/FT Home/Home24.0%

HT/FT Away/Away23.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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