Spain · La Liga

Getafe vs Racing Santander

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Getafe 39.8% Draw 32.4% Racing Santander 27.8%

Over 2.5 - 27% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Getafe

W L W L W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Racing Santander

Form 0-1-0 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Getafe win39.8%

Draw32.4%

Racing Santander win27.8%

Over 1.5 goals53.1%

Over 2.5 goals26.5%

Over 3.5 goals10.6%

Both teams to score84.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.2%

Away Team to Score

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.6%

Goal in Both Halves83.6%

Home or Away (12)81.6%

Home or Draw (1X)64.9%

Draw No Bet - Home57.3%

Draw or Away (X2)53.0%

Home Win46.8%

Draw No Bet - Away42.7%

Away Win34.8%

Draw18.2%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.7%

Over 2.5 Goals87.2%

Over 3.5 Goals73.1%

4+ Goals73.1%

Under 5.5 Goals62.1%

Over 4.5 Goals55.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals44.5%

2-4 Goals40.2%

Over 5.5 Goals37.9%

3-4 Goals31.7%

Under 3.5 Goals26.9%

1-3 Goals26.0%

2-3 Goals22.6%

Exactly 3 Goals14.1%

Under 2.5 Goals12.8%

1-2 Goals11.9%

Exactly 2 Goals8.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.8%

Away Team to Score89.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.3%

Home Clean Sheet9.8%

Home Win to Nil9.1%

Away Clean Sheet6.9%

Away Win to Nil6.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.8%

Away Over 0.589.9%

Home Over 1.574.3%

Away Over 1.567.2%

Home Over 2.549.6%

Home 3+ Goals49.6%

Away Over 2.540.8%

Away 3+ Goals40.8%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Home Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 122.8%

Home Exactly 118.5%

Away Exactly 09.8%

Home Exactly 06.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 117.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.0%

Home to win by 3+16.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.1%

Away to win by 115.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 213.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 210.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.5%

Away to win by 3+9.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.5%

Home & Over 2.542.5%

Home & BTTS37.6%

Away & Over 2.531.4%

Away & BTTS28.6%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Draw & Over 2.513.3%

Home & No BTTS9.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.7%

Away & No BTTS6.3%

Draw & Under 2.54.9%

Home & Under 2.54.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.4%

HT Over 1.565.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score45.3%

HT Home Win39.6%

HT Under 1.534.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win31.8%

HT/FT Home/Home30.3%

HT Draw28.7%

HT/FT Away/Away21.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%

HT Under 0.510.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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