Spain · La Liga

Getafe vs Sevilla

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

35% confidence

Getafe 35.2% Draw 34.2% Sevilla 30.6%

Over 2.5 - 28% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

69%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sevilla: 3 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Getafe 1 wins, 1 draws, Sevilla 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.7%

Exact-score model probability

Getafe

L D L D L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:10 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Sevilla

W L D L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

Getafe 1wins ·1 draws ·Sevilla 3wins

Getafe 0-1 SevillaFeb 22, 2026

Getafe 2-1 SevillaAug 25, 2025

Getafe 0-0 SevillaFeb 1, 2025

Getafe 0-1 SevillaSep 14, 2024

Getafe 0-1 SevillaMar 30, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Getafe win35.2%

Draw34.2%

Sevilla win30.6%

Over 1.5 goals55.2%

Over 2.5 goals27.5%

Over 3.5 goals11.2%

Both teams to score68.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.1%

Home or Draw (1X)69.8%

Draw No Bet - Home59.8%

Both Halves Over 0.556.5%

Goal in Both Halves56.5%

Draw or Away (X2)55.1%

Home Win44.9%

Draw No Bet - Away40.2%

Away Win30.2%

Draw24.9%

Exactly 1 Goal16.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.0%

Under 5.5 Goals93.4%

Under 4.5 Goals84.6%

Over 1.5 Goals77.1%

Under 3.5 Goals69.0%

1-3 Goals63.0%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals46.7%

2-3 Goals46.0%

1-2 Goals40.7%

3-4 Goals37.9%

Over 3.5 Goals31.0%

4+ Goals31.0%

Exactly 2 Goals23.8%

Under 1.5 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals15.4%

Over 5.5 Goals6.6%

Under 0.5 Goals6.0%

Exactly 0 Goals6.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.1%

Away Team to Score71.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.7%

Home Clean Sheet28.9%

Home Win to Nil22.9%

Away Clean Sheet20.8%

Away Win to Nil14.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.1%

Away Over 0.571.1%

Home Over 1.546.5%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.535.2%

Home Exactly 132.7%

Away Exactly 028.9%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 222.3%

Home Over 2.520.8%

Home Exactly 020.8%

Home 3+ Goals20.8%

Away Over 2.513.0%

Away 3+ Goals13.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away55.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.2%

Home to win by 122.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 117.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 213.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.2%

Home to win by 3+9.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 28.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.2%

Away to win by 3+4.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.544.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.0%

Home & Over 2.528.1%

Home & No BTTS22.9%

Home & BTTS22.1%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Away & Over 2.518.1%

Draw & Under 2.517.7%

Home & Under 2.516.8%

Away & BTTS15.4%

Away & No BTTS14.8%

Away & Under 2.512.1%

BTTS & Under 2.511.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.8%

HT Under 1.563.9%

2nd Half More Goals43.9%

HT Draw40.5%

HT Over 1.536.1%

HT Home Win34.3%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.528.2%

HT/FT Home/Home27.2%

HT Away Win25.2%

Equal Goals Each Half24.9%

HT Both Teams Score21.7%

HT/FT Away/Away17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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