Portugal · Primeira Liga

GIL Vicente vs FC Porto

Full time · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

GIL Vicente 15.9% Draw 25.0% FC Porto 59.1%

Over 2.5 - 37% BTTS - 62%

✓ Pick was correct (0:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Porto: 8 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

GIL Vicente

W W D L L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

FC Porto

L L W W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

GIL Vicente 1wins ·1 draws ·FC Porto 3wins

GIL Vicente 0-3 FC PortoJan 26, 2026

GIL Vicente 0-2 FC PortoAug 18, 2025

GIL Vicente 3-1 FC PortoJan 19, 2025

GIL Vicente 0-3 FC PortoAug 10, 2024

GIL Vicente 1-1 FC PortoFeb 25, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

GIL Vicente win15.9%

Draw25.0%

FC Porto win59.1%

Over 1.5 goals63.3%

Over 2.5 goals36.8%

Over 3.5 goals17.4%

Both teams to score62.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

90.3%

Away Over 0.5

90.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)85.1%

Draw No Bet - Away81.9%

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Away Win66.9%

Both Halves Over 0.565.5%

Goal in Both Halves65.5%

Home or Draw (1X)33.0%

Draw18.2%

Draw No Bet - Home18.1%

Home Win14.8%

Exactly 1 Goal11.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals87.8%

Over 1.5 Goals84.6%

Under 4.5 Goals75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals64.9%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 3.5 Goals57.1%

1-3 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.9%

4+ Goals42.9%

2-3 Goals41.7%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.1%

1-2 Goals31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.7%

Under 1.5 Goals15.4%

Over 5.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.3%

Home Team to Score63.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.6%

Away Clean Sheet36.4%

Away Win to Nil32.9%

Home Clean Sheet9.7%

Home Win to Nil6.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.3%

Away Over 1.567.7%

Home Over 0.563.5%

Away Over 2.541.3%

Away 3+ Goals41.3%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 036.4%

Home Over 1.526.7%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Away Exactly 122.6%

Home Exactly 218.5%

Away Exactly 09.7%

Home Over 2.58.2%

Home 3+ Goals8.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away85.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home75.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)66.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)55.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home55.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away44.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)33.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home33.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away24.5%

Away to win by 3+24.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.6%

Away to win by 122.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.8%

Away to win by 219.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.8%

Home to win by 19.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.7%

Home to win by 23.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.3%

Home to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.549.1%

BTTS & Over 2.549.1%

Away & BTTS34.0%

Away & No BTTS32.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.7%

Away & Under 2.517.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.9%

Draw & BTTS14.7%

Draw & Under 2.511.8%

Home & Over 2.59.4%

Home & BTTS8.7%

BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.4%

Home & No BTTS6.1%

Home & Under 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.8%

HT Under 1.555.6%

HT Away Win50.1%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT/FT Away/Away44.8%

HT Over 1.544.4%

HT Draw34.1%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.6%

HT Home Win15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.0%

HT/FT Home/Home8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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