Portugal · Primeira Liga

GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave

Kick-off 20:30 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

GIL Vicente 55.3% Draw 24.2% Rio Ave 20.4%

Over 2.5 - 46% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Rio Ave: 5 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: GIL Vicente 0 wins, 4 draws, Rio Ave 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.4%

Exact-score model probability

GIL Vicente

L L D W L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:10 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.67

Rio Ave

D L D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

GIL Vicente 0wins ·4 draws ·Rio Ave 1wins

GIL Vicente 0-0 Rio AveMay 3, 2026

GIL Vicente 2-2 Rio AveDec 20, 2025

GIL Vicente 1-1 Rio AveMay 16, 2025

GIL Vicente 1-1 Rio AveJan 6, 2025

GIL Vicente 0-3 Rio AveApr 6, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

GIL Vicente win55.3%

Draw24.2%

Rio Ave win20.4%

Over 1.5 goals71.5%

Over 2.5 goals46.1%

Over 3.5 goals24.7%

Both teams to score66.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.6%

Draw or Away (X2)67.9%

Both Halves Over 0.558.5%

Goal in Both Halves58.5%

Draw No Bet - Away57.6%

Home or Draw (1X)56.5%

Away Win43.5%

Draw No Bet - Home42.4%

Home Win32.1%

Draw24.4%

Exactly 1 Goal15.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.6%

Under 5.5 Goals92.4%

Under 4.5 Goals82.8%

Over 1.5 Goals78.9%

Under 3.5 Goals66.5%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals61.1%

Over 2.5 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals45.4%

Under 2.5 Goals44.1%

1-2 Goals38.7%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 3.5 Goals33.5%

4+ Goals33.5%

Exactly 2 Goals23.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals21.1%

Over 4.5 Goals17.2%

Over 5.5 Goals7.6%

Under 0.5 Goals5.4%

Exactly 0 Goals5.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score79.6%

Home Team to Score73.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.4%

Away Clean Sheet26.4%

Away Win to Nil21.0%

Home Clean Sheet20.4%

Home Win to Nil15.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.579.6%

Home Over 0.573.6%

Away Over 1.547.2%

Home Over 1.538.4%

Home Exactly 135.2%

Away Exactly 132.4%

Home Exactly 026.4%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 223.4%

Away Over 2.521.4%

Away 3+ Goals21.4%

Away Exactly 020.4%

Home Over 2.515.0%

Home 3+ Goals15.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.4%

Away to win by 121.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 118.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.1%

Away to win by 213.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.2%

Home to win by 29.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.0%

Away to win by 3+9.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.9%

Home to win by 3+4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.547.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.7%

Away & Over 2.528.1%

Away & BTTS22.5%

Away & No BTTS21.0%

Home & Over 2.520.1%

Draw & BTTS19.1%

Home & BTTS17.0%

Draw & Under 2.516.8%

Away & Under 2.515.4%

Home & No BTTS15.0%

Home & Under 2.511.9%

BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.1%

HT Under 1.562.2%

2nd Half More Goals44.3%

HT Draw39.7%

HT Over 1.537.8%

HT Away Win33.7%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Under 0.526.9%

HT Home Win26.6%

HT/FT Away/Away26.3%

Equal Goals Each Half24.4%

HT Both Teams Score23.0%

HT/FT Home/Home18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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