Portugal · Primeira Liga

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC

Kick-off 21:15 · Mon, Nov 2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

36% confidence

GIL Vicente 33.9% Draw 29.9% Vitória SC 36.2%

Over 2.5 - 30% BTTS - 40%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to GIL Vicente: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: GIL Vicente 0 wins, 0 draws, Vitória SC 2 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13%

Exact-score model probability

GIL Vicente

L W W D L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Vitória SC

W L D L D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 2

GIL Vicente 0wins ·0 draws ·Vitória SC 2wins

GIL Vicente 0-1 Vitória SCApr 11, 2025

GIL Vicente 0-4 Vitória SCDec 2, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

GIL Vicente win33.9%

Draw29.9%

Vitória SC win36.2%

Over 1.5 goals56.2%

Over 2.5 goals30.1%

Over 3.5 goals12.8%

Both teams to score39.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.3%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.2%

Draw or Away (X2)70.6%

Draw No Bet - Away59.3%

Home or Draw (1X)57.2%

Both Halves Over 0.546.9%

Goal in Both Halves46.9%

Away Win42.8%

Draw No Bet - Home40.7%

Home Win29.4%

Draw27.8%

Exactly 1 Goal22.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.8%

Under 4.5 Goals91.3%

Over 0.5 Goals90.3%

Under 3.5 Goals79.3%

1-3 Goals69.6%

Over 1.5 Goals67.6%

2-4 Goals58.9%

Under 2.5 Goals58.8%

Total Goals Even50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

1-2 Goals49.1%

2-3 Goals46.9%

Over 2.5 Goals41.2%

Under 1.5 Goals32.4%

3-4 Goals32.4%

Exactly 2 Goals26.4%

Over 3.5 Goals20.7%

4+ Goals20.7%

Exactly 3 Goals20.5%

Under 0.5 Goals9.7%

Exactly 0 Goals9.7%

Over 4.5 Goals8.7%

Over 5.5 Goals3.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score72.8%

Home Team to Score64.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.7%

Away Clean Sheet35.8%

Home Clean Sheet27.2%

Away Win to Nil26.0%

Home Win to Nil17.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.572.8%

Home Over 0.564.2%

Away Over 1.537.4%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 035.8%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Home Over 1.527.5%

Away Exactly 027.2%

Away Exactly 223.0%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Over 2.514.3%

Away 3+ Goals14.3%

Home Over 2.58.6%

Home 3+ Goals8.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away70.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.3%

Away to win by 123.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.6%

Away to win by 212.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.9%

Home to win by 27.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.9%

Away to win by 3+6.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.2%

Home to win by 3+3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.8%

BTTS & Over 2.533.7%

Away & No BTTS26.0%

Draw & Under 2.522.8%

Away & Over 2.521.9%

Away & Under 2.520.9%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Home & No BTTS17.5%

Away & BTTS16.7%

Home & Under 2.515.2%

Home & Over 2.514.2%

BTTS & Under 2.513.0%

Home & BTTS11.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.571.8%

HT Over 0.564.9%

HT Draw45.2%

2nd Half More Goals41.8%

HT Under 0.535.1%

HT Away Win31.5%

1st Half More Goals30.3%

HT Over 1.528.2%

Equal Goals Each Half27.9%

HT/FT Away/Away25.1%

HT Home Win23.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.2%

HT/FT Home/Home16.5%

HT Both Teams Score16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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