South-Korea · K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen

Full time · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 68.2% Draw 21.2% Daejeon Citizen 10.6%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 47%

✓ Pick was correct (0:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 12.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 9 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.9%

Exact-score model probability

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

L W W D D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 4:2 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.33

Daejeon Citizen

W D D L L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1wins ·0 draws ·Daejeon Citizen 0wins

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3-2 Daejeon CitizenJul 25, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win68.2%

Draw21.2%

Daejeon Citizen win10.6%

Over 1.5 goals79.1%

Over 2.5 goals54.6%

Over 3.5 goals32.2%

Both teams to score47.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

89.5%

Home or Draw (1X)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.2%

Draw No Bet - Home85.5%

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Home Win69.3%

Both Halves Over 0.557.5%

Goal in Both Halves57.5%

Draw or Away (X2)30.6%

Draw18.9%

Exactly 1 Goal16.3%

Draw No Bet - Away14.5%

Away Win11.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.3%

Under 5.5 Goals92.9%

Under 4.5 Goals83.8%

Over 1.5 Goals77.9%

Under 3.5 Goals67.8%

1-3 Goals62.0%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals54.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.7%

Under 2.5 Goals45.4%

1-2 Goals39.7%

3-4 Goals38.3%

Over 3.5 Goals32.2%

4+ Goals32.2%

Exactly 2 Goals23.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals16.2%

Over 5.5 Goals7.1%

Under 0.5 Goals5.7%

Exactly 0 Goals5.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)54.0%

Away Team to Score52.3%

Home Clean Sheet47.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.0%

Home Win to Nil42.0%

Away Clean Sheet11.9%

Away Win to Nil6.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.0%

Home Over 1.562.6%

Away Over 0.552.3%

Away Exactly 047.7%

Home Over 2.535.7%

Home 3+ Goals35.7%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.4%

Away Over 1.517.0%

Away Exactly 213.1%

Home Exactly 011.9%

Away Over 2.53.9%

Away 3+ Goals3.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away55.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)44.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home44.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.5%

Home to win by 124.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.8%

Home to win by 3+23.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.1%

Home to win by 221.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 18.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 22.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.544.4%

Home & No BTTS42.0%

BTTS & Over 2.537.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.536.4%

Home & BTTS27.4%

Home & Under 2.525.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.5%

Draw & Under 2.514.7%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

BTTS & Under 2.59.0%

Away & No BTTS6.2%

Away & Over 2.56.0%

Away & Under 2.55.8%

Away & BTTS5.5%

Draw & Over 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.5%

HT Under 1.563.1%

HT Home Win50.3%

HT/FT Home/Home46.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.1%

HT Draw37.0%

HT Over 1.536.9%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Under 0.527.5%

Equal Goals Each Half24.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.5%

HT Both Teams Score17.4%

HT Away Win12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.8%

HT/FT Away/Away6.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions