South-Korea · K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang

Kick-off 08:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 68.6% Draw 22.3% FC Anyang 9.1%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 40%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 15.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 10 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.3%

Exact-score model probability

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

W W D D D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 4:1 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.17

FC Anyang

D D L L L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 2:14 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0wins ·1 draws ·FC Anyang 0wins

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-2 FC AnyangMay 13, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win68.6%

Draw22.3%

FC Anyang win9.1%

Over 1.5 goals73.3%

Over 2.5 goals46.7%

Over 3.5 goals25.2%

Both teams to score39.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.8%

Home or Draw (1X)

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.7%

Draw No Bet - Home87.2%

Home or Away (12)80.1%

Home Win69.8%

Both Halves Over 0.551.3%

Goal in Both Halves51.3%

Draw or Away (X2)30.2%

Exactly 1 Goal20.0%

Draw19.9%

Draw No Bet - Away12.8%

Away Win10.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.5%

Over 0.5 Goals92.1%

Under 4.5 Goals88.5%

Under 3.5 Goals74.8%

Over 1.5 Goals72.1%

1-3 Goals67.0%

2-4 Goals60.7%

Under 2.5 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.7%

1-2 Goals45.4%

3-4 Goals35.3%

Under 1.5 Goals27.9%

Exactly 2 Goals25.4%

Over 3.5 Goals25.2%

4+ Goals25.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Over 4.5 Goals11.5%

Under 0.5 Goals7.9%

Exactly 0 Goals7.9%

Over 5.5 Goals4.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)61.7%

Home Clean Sheet55.4%

Home Win to Nil47.5%

Away Team to Score44.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)38.3%

Away Clean Sheet14.2%

Away Win to Nil6.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.8%

Home Over 1.558.1%

Away Exactly 055.4%

Away Over 0.544.6%

Away Exactly 132.7%

Home Over 2.531.0%

Home 3+ Goals31.0%

Home Exactly 127.7%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 014.2%

Away Over 1.511.9%

Away Exactly 29.7%

Away Over 2.52.2%

Away 3+ Goals2.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)56.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away56.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)43.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home43.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.1%

Home to win by 126.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.1%

Home to win by 3+22.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.6%

Home to win by 221.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.9%

Away to win by 17.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 22.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS47.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.544.2%

Home & Over 2.539.5%

Home & Under 2.530.3%

BTTS & Over 2.529.2%

Home & BTTS22.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.5%

Draw & Under 2.516.9%

Draw & BTTS12.0%

BTTS & Under 2.59.1%

Away & No BTTS6.3%

Away & Under 2.56.0%

Away & Over 2.54.3%

Away & BTTS4.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.3%

HT Over 0.568.2%

HT Home Win49.5%

HT/FT Home/Home45.7%

2nd Half More Goals42.8%

HT Draw39.7%

HT Under 0.531.8%

HT Over 1.531.7%

1st Half More Goals30.8%

Equal Goals Each Half26.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.8%

HT Both Teams Score13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.5%

HT Away Win10.8%

HT/FT Away/Away5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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