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South-Korea · K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Seoul

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Aug 8
📊 Our Prediction
Away +4.5 (Handicap)
63% confidence
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 15.1% Draw 21.5% FC Seoul 63.4%
Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 59%
🎯 Best Pick
Draw or Away (X2)
AI verdict (fallback)
🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 75%
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
84%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.8%, based on the goal model.
AI verdict (fallback)
Recent form leans to FC Seoul: 9 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.
Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
9.8%
Exact-score model probability
Bookmaker implied chance
75%
Market agrees with this pick
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
W W D L D D
Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17
FC Seoul
D L W W D W
Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83
Head to head · last 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1wins ·0 draws ·FC Seoul 0wins
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3-2 FC SeoulMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win15.1%
Draw21.5%
FC Seoul win63.4%
Over 1.5 goals84.8%
Over 2.5 goals63.3%
Over 3.5 goals41.1%
Both teams to score58.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)
90.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home
90.0%
Away Team to Score
89.2%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)83.7%
Home or Away (12)80.7%
Draw No Bet - Away79.9%
Away Win64.5%
Both Halves Over 0.564.2%
Goal in Both Halves64.2%
Home or Draw (1X)35.5%
Draw No Bet - Home20.1%
Draw19.2%
Home Win16.3%
Exactly 1 Goal12.5%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals96.1%
Under 5.5 Goals88.8%
Over 1.5 Goals83.6%
Under 4.5 Goals77.0%
Over 2.5 Goals63.2%
2-4 Goals60.6%
Under 3.5 Goals58.9%
1-3 Goals55.0%
Total Goals Even50.0%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
2-3 Goals42.5%
Over 3.5 Goals41.1%
4+ Goals41.1%
3-4 Goals40.2%
Under 2.5 Goals36.8%
1-2 Goals32.9%
Over 4.5 Goals23.0%
Exactly 3 Goals22.2%
Exactly 2 Goals20.4%
Under 1.5 Goals16.4%
Over 5.5 Goals11.2%
Under 0.5 Goals3.9%
Exactly 0 Goals3.8%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score89.2%
Home Team to Score64.3%
Both Teams Score (GG)57.4%
No Both Teams Score (NG)42.6%
Away Clean Sheet35.7%
Away Win to Nil31.9%
Home Clean Sheet10.7%
Home Win to Nil6.9%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.589.2%
Away Over 1.565.3%
Home Over 0.564.3%
Away Over 2.538.5%
Away 3+ Goals38.5%
Home Exactly 136.8%
Home Exactly 035.7%
Home Over 1.527.5%
Away Exactly 226.7%
Away Exactly 124.0%
Home Exactly 218.9%
Away Exactly 010.7%
Home Over 2.58.6%
Home 3+ Goals8.6%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.4%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.1%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.3%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.3%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.0%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)83.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away83.7%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)77.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home77.7%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)64.5%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.4%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)41.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away41.5%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)35.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home35.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.0%
Away to win by 123.0%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.2%
Away to win by 3+22.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.3%
Away to win by 219.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)16.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.6%
Home to win by 110.6%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.2%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.1%
Home to win by 24.1%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.6%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.5%
Home to win by 3+1.5%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.548.6%
Away & Over 2.546.4%
Away & BTTS32.6%
Away & No BTTS31.9%
No BTTS & Under 2.527.9%
Away & Under 2.518.1%
Draw & BTTS15.4%
No BTTS & Over 2.514.7%
Draw & Under 2.512.6%
Home & Over 2.510.3%
Home & BTTS9.4%
BTTS & Under 2.58.8%
Home & No BTTS6.9%
Draw & Over 2.56.6%
Home & Under 2.56.0%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.577.0%
HT Under 1.556.9%
HT Away Win48.2%
2nd Half More Goals45.4%
HT Over 1.543.1%
HT/FT Away/Away42.6%
HT Draw35.1%
1st Half More Goals31.7%
HT Both Teams Score23.5%
HT Under 0.523.0%
Equal Goals Each Half22.9%
HT/FT Draw/Away18.4%
HT Home Win16.7%
HT/FT Draw/Draw10.7%
HT/FT Home/Home9.0%
HT/FT Draw/Home6.0%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%
HT/FT Home/Away3.5%
HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win45%
Draw45%
FC Seoul win10%
AdviceDouble chance : Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
← All predictions
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