South-Korea · K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC

Kick-off 08:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

35% confidence

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 35.4% Draw 34.9% Gangwon FC 29.7%

Over 2.5 - 31% BTTS - 40%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 10 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.8%

Exact-score model probability

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

D D D D W W

Form 2-4-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.5

Gangwon FC

D D W L L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0wins ·0 draws ·Gangwon FC 1wins

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-2 Gangwon FCJul 18, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win35.4%

Draw34.9%

Gangwon FC win29.7%

Over 1.5 goals59.3%

Over 2.5 goals30.5%

Over 3.5 goals13.1%

Both teams to score40.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.0%

Under 3.5 Goals

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)68.6%

Home or Away (12)68.6%

Draw or Away (X2)62.8%

Draw No Bet - Home54.2%

Draw No Bet - Away45.8%

Both Halves Over 0.538.0%

Goal in Both Halves38.0%

Home Win37.2%

Draw31.4%

Away Win31.4%

Exactly 1 Goal28.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.6%

Under 4.5 Goals95.3%

Under 3.5 Goals86.9%

Over 0.5 Goals85.5%

1-3 Goals72.4%

Under 2.5 Goals69.5%

Over 1.5 Goals57.6%

1-2 Goals55.0%

2-4 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Even51.0%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

2-3 Goals44.5%

Under 1.5 Goals42.4%

Over 2.5 Goals30.5%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

3-4 Goals25.8%

Exactly 3 Goals17.4%

Under 0.5 Goals14.5%

Exactly 0 Goals14.5%

Over 3.5 Goals13.1%

4+ Goals13.1%

Over 4.5 Goals4.7%

Over 5.5 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score64.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)61.7%

Away Team to Score59.8%

Home Clean Sheet40.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)38.3%

Away Clean Sheet36.0%

Home Win to Nil25.7%

Away Win to Nil21.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.564.0%

Away Over 0.559.8%

Away Exactly 040.2%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 036.0%

Home Over 1.527.2%

Away Over 1.523.2%

Home Exactly 218.8%

Away Exactly 216.7%

Home Over 2.58.4%

Home 3+ Goals8.4%

Away Over 2.56.5%

Away 3+ Goals6.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)62.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away62.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.8%

Home to win by 122.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.4%

Away to win by 120.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 210.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.1%

Away to win by 28.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.2%

Home to win by 3+4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.9%

Away to win by 3+2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.556.0%

Draw & Under 2.527.9%

Home & No BTTS25.7%

BTTS & Over 2.524.8%

Home & Under 2.522.3%

Away & No BTTS21.6%

Away & Under 2.519.2%

Draw & BTTS17.0%

Home & Over 2.514.9%

BTTS & Under 2.513.5%

Away & Over 2.512.2%

Home & BTTS11.5%

Away & BTTS9.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.7%

Draw & Over 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.578.3%

HT Over 0.558.1%

HT Draw50.2%

HT Under 0.541.9%

2nd Half More Goals39.5%

Equal Goals Each Half31.3%

1st Half More Goals29.2%

HT Home Win26.6%

HT Away Win23.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw22.6%

HT Over 1.521.7%

HT/FT Home/Home21.0%

HT/FT Away/Away17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.8%

HT Both Teams Score12.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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