South-Korea · K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC

Kick-off 11:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 79.4% Draw 16.3% Gwangju FC 4.3%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 31%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 17.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 10 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.8%

Exact-score model probability

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

D D D W W D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

Gwangju FC

L L D L L D

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:12 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Gwangju FC 0wins

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-1 Gwangju FCJul 22, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win79.4%

Draw16.3%

Gwangju FC win4.3%

Over 1.5 goals75.6%

Over 2.5 goals50.2%

Over 3.5 goals28.2%

Both teams to score30.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

89.7%

Home Over 0.5

89.7%

Under 4.5 Goals

86.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)94.9%

Draw No Bet - Home94.1%

Home or Away (12)85.3%

Home Win80.2%

Both Halves Over 0.554.1%

Goal in Both Halves54.1%

Draw or Away (X2)19.7%

Exactly 1 Goal18.3%

Draw14.7%

Draw No Bet - Away5.9%

Away Win5.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.5%

Over 0.5 Goals93.1%

Under 4.5 Goals86.6%

Over 1.5 Goals74.8%

Under 3.5 Goals71.8%

1-3 Goals64.9%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals50.2%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Under 2.5 Goals49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals46.6%

1-2 Goals42.9%

3-4 Goals36.8%

Over 3.5 Goals28.2%

4+ Goals28.2%

Under 1.5 Goals25.2%

Exactly 2 Goals24.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals13.4%

Under 0.5 Goals6.9%

Exactly 0 Goals6.8%

Over 5.5 Goals5.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)70.3%

Home Clean Sheet66.9%

Home Win to Nil60.0%

Away Team to Score33.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)29.7%

Away Clean Sheet10.2%

Away Win to Nil3.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.7%

Away Exactly 066.9%

Home Over 1.566.4%

Home Over 2.539.9%

Home 3+ Goals39.9%

Away Over 0.533.1%

Away Exactly 126.9%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 123.3%

Home Exactly 010.2%

Away Over 1.56.2%

Away Exactly 25.4%

Away Over 2.50.8%

Away 3+ Goals0.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)56.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home56.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)43.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away43.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.4%

Home to win by 3+32.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.9%

Home to win by 123.9%

Home to win by 223.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.2%

Away to win by 14.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.7%

Away to win by 20.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS60.0%

Home & Over 2.546.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.543.5%

Home & Under 2.533.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.526.7%

BTTS & Over 2.523.4%

Home & BTTS20.2%

Draw & Under 2.513.1%

Draw & BTTS7.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS3.4%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Away & Over 2.51.8%

Away & BTTS1.7%

Draw & Over 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.1%

HT Under 1.566.0%

HT Home Win57.8%

HT/FT Home/Home55.5%

2nd Half More Goals43.4%

HT Draw35.7%

HT Over 1.534.0%

1st Half More Goals31.0%

HT Under 0.529.9%

Equal Goals Each Half25.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home22.8%

HT Both Teams Score10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT Away Win6.5%

HT/FT Away/Away2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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