UEFA Europa Conference League

GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Kick-off 17:00 · Wed, Aug 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away Win

80% confidence

GKS Katowice 8.0% Draw 12.0% Hapoel Tel Aviv 80.0%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

Form gap

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 25%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Attacking threat

82%

Draw No Bet - Away

Defensive strength

80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

GKS Katowice is in poor form, while Hapoel Tel Aviv has a strong attacking threat. The away team's recent clean sheets and high xG suggest a strong defensive strength. With Hapoel Tel Aviv's key players likely to start, their chances of winning are high. The head-to-head history also favors Hapoel Tel Aviv.

💡

Top Tip

Back Hapoel Tel Aviv to win, given their superior form and attacking prowess

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Form gap

Recent form leans to Hapoel Tel Aviv: 3 points versus 7 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away Win

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

25%

Market does not fully agree

GKS Katowice

L W L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Hapoel Tel Aviv

W D W

Form 2-1-0 Goals 6:2 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

GKS Katowice 0wins ·0 draws ·Hapoel Tel Aviv 1wins

GKS Katowice 0-2 Hapoel Tel AvivAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

GKS Katowice win8.0%

Draw12.0%

Hapoel Tel Aviv win80.0%

Over 1.5 goals93.6%

Over 2.5 goals80.9%

Over 3.5 goals63.0%

Both teams to score62.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

91.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)91.5%

Draw No Bet - Away91.2%

Home or Away (12)88.1%

Away Win80.4%

Both Halves Over 0.578.1%

Goal in Both Halves78.1%

Home or Draw (1X)18.9%

Draw11.1%

Draw No Bet - Home8.8%

Home Win7.7%

Exactly 1 Goal5.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals92.4%

Over 2.5 Goals80.2%

Under 5.5 Goals73.5%

Over 3.5 Goals62.5%

4+ Goals62.5%

Under 4.5 Goals56.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

2-4 Goals49.1%

Over 4.5 Goals43.3%

Under 3.5 Goals37.5%

3-4 Goals36.9%

1-3 Goals35.5%

2-3 Goals29.9%

Over 5.5 Goals26.5%

Under 2.5 Goals19.8%

1-2 Goals17.8%

Exactly 3 Goals17.7%

Exactly 2 Goals12.2%

Under 1.5 Goals7.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score63.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.7%

Away Clean Sheet35.7%

Away Win to Nil34.4%

Home Clean Sheet3.6%

Home Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 1.583.8%

Away Over 2.564.0%

Away 3+ Goals64.0%

Home Over 0.563.5%

Home Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 035.7%

Home Over 1.527.0%

Away Exactly 219.8%

Home Exactly 218.7%

Away Exactly 111.9%

Home Over 2.58.4%

Home 3+ Goals8.4%

Away Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away91.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home85.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)80.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home73.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)63.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away63.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)55.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home55.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)43.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away43.7%

Away to win by 3+43.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home36.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)26.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away26.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 219.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home18.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.1%

Away to win by 117.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away13.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.2%

Home to win by 15.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.8%

Home to win by 21.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.6%

Home to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.569.0%

BTTS & Over 2.556.9%

Away & BTTS46.0%

Away & No BTTS34.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.7%

Away & Under 2.511.4%

Draw & BTTS9.9%

Home & Over 2.55.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.7%

Draw & Over 2.55.5%

Home & BTTS5.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Home & No BTTS2.3%

Home & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.9%

HT Away Win63.2%

HT/FT Away/Away59.6%

HT Over 1.558.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.3%

HT Under 1.541.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score28.6%

HT Draw25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.4%

HT Under 0.514.1%

HT Home Win11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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