Netherlands · Eredivisie

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen

Kick-off 17:45 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

GO Ahead Eagles 49.2% Draw 25.3% Groningen 25.5%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

83%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to GO Ahead Eagles: 10 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

GO Ahead Eagles

W L W D W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 15:12 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2

Groningen

D L L W W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:14 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 5

GO Ahead Eagles 2wins ·3 draws ·Groningen 0wins

GO Ahead Eagles 0-0 GroningenApr 11, 2026

GO Ahead Eagles 1-1 GroningenDec 21, 2025

GO Ahead Eagles 2-1 GroningenJan 18, 2025

GO Ahead Eagles 1-0 GroningenSep 29, 2024

GO Ahead Eagles 1-1 GroningenMay 7, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

GO Ahead Eagles win49.2%

Draw25.3%

Groningen win25.5%

Over 1.5 goals82.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.4%

Over 3.5 goals37.2%

Both teams to score92.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.5%

Over 2.5 Goals

88.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.4%

Goal in Both Halves85.4%

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Home or Draw (1X)77.1%

Draw No Bet - Home73.3%

Home Win61.3%

Draw or Away (X2)38.1%

Draw No Bet - Away26.7%

Away Win22.3%

Draw15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.0%

Over 2.5 Goals88.7%

Over 3.5 Goals76.0%

4+ Goals76.0%

Over 4.5 Goals59.3%

Under 5.5 Goals58.2%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals41.8%

Under 4.5 Goals40.7%

2-4 Goals36.8%

3-4 Goals29.5%

Under 3.5 Goals24.0%

1-3 Goals22.9%

2-3 Goals20.1%

Exactly 3 Goals12.8%

Under 2.5 Goals11.3%

1-2 Goals10.1%

Exactly 2 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score86.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.4%

Home Clean Sheet13.3%

Home Win to Nil12.8%

Away Clean Sheet4.0%

Away Win to Nil3.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Away Over 0.586.1%

Home Over 1.582.5%

Home Over 2.561.8%

Home 3+ Goals61.8%

Away Over 1.559.3%

Away Over 2.532.4%

Away 3+ Goals32.4%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 126.7%

Home Exactly 220.7%

Away Exactly 013.3%

Home Exactly 112.9%

Home Exactly 04.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)56.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away56.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home43.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.0%

Home to win by 3+27.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 216.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.2%

Away to win by 111.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.4%

Away to win by 26.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.7%

Away to win by 3+4.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.2%

Home & Over 2.556.8%

Home & BTTS48.5%

Away & Over 2.520.2%

Away & BTTS18.9%

Draw & BTTS15.3%

Home & No BTTS12.8%

Draw & Over 2.511.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.2%

Home & Under 2.54.5%

Draw & Under 2.54.0%

Away & No BTTS3.5%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.5%

HT Over 1.568.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Home Win49.7%

HT Both Teams Score45.6%

HT/FT Home/Home42.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.9%

HT Draw26.7%

HT Away Win23.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.1%

HT/FT Away/Away13.3%

HT Under 0.59.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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