Netherlands · Eredivisie

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam

Kick-off 15:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

GO Ahead Eagles 57.7% Draw 24.1% Sparta Rotterdam 18.2%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.2%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to GO Ahead Eagles: 9 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.2%

Exact-score model probability

GO Ahead Eagles

D D W L W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

Sparta Rotterdam

L L D L D W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 10:16 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.67

Head to head · last 5

GO Ahead Eagles 3wins ·1 draws ·Sparta Rotterdam 1wins

GO Ahead Eagles 2-2 Sparta RotterdamMay 3, 2026

GO Ahead Eagles 0-3 Sparta RotterdamAug 23, 2025

GO Ahead Eagles 1-0 Sparta RotterdamFeb 14, 2025

GO Ahead Eagles 2-1 Sparta RotterdamSep 15, 2024

GO Ahead Eagles 2-0 Sparta RotterdamJan 21, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

GO Ahead Eagles win57.7%

Draw24.1%

Sparta Rotterdam win18.2%

Over 1.5 goals82.1%

Over 2.5 goals96.7%

Over 3.5 goals36.4%

Both teams to score90.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.2%

HT Over 0.5

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.6%

Goal in Both Halves85.6%

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Home or Draw (1X)79.4%

Draw No Bet - Home76.4%

Home Win64.3%

Draw or Away (X2)34.9%

Draw No Bet - Away23.6%

Away Win19.8%

Draw15.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals96.0%

Over 2.5 Goals88.8%

Over 3.5 Goals76.3%

4+ Goals76.3%

Over 4.5 Goals59.7%

Under 5.5 Goals57.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Over 5.5 Goals42.3%

Under 4.5 Goals40.3%

2-4 Goals36.3%

3-4 Goals29.1%

Under 3.5 Goals23.7%

1-3 Goals22.5%

2-3 Goals19.7%

Exactly 3 Goals12.6%

Under 2.5 Goals11.2%

1-2 Goals9.9%

Exactly 2 Goals7.2%

Under 1.5 Goals4.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.7%

Away Team to Score84.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.2%

Home Clean Sheet14.4%

Home Win to Nil13.9%

Away Clean Sheet3.6%

Away Win to Nil3.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 0.584.9%

Home Over 1.583.8%

Home Over 2.564.0%

Home 3+ Goals64.0%

Away Over 1.557.1%

Away Over 2.530.2%

Away 3+ Goals30.2%

Away Exactly 127.8%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 219.8%

Away Exactly 014.4%

Home Exactly 111.9%

Home Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home29.8%

Home to win by 3+29.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 216.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 110.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 25.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.9%

Away to win by 3+3.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.5%

Home & Over 2.559.7%

Home & BTTS50.5%

Away & Over 2.517.9%

Away & BTTS16.8%

Draw & BTTS14.5%

Home & No BTTS13.9%

Draw & Over 2.511.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Home & Under 2.54.6%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Away & No BTTS3.1%

Away & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.6%

HT Over 1.568.5%

HT Home Win52.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Both Teams Score45.1%

HT/FT Home/Home45.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.5%

HT Draw26.2%

HT Away Win21.8%

Equal Goals Each Half17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT/FT Away/Away11.7%

HT Under 0.59.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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