Netherlands · Eredivisie

GO Ahead Eagles vs Willem II

Kick-off 17:45 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

GO Ahead Eagles 61.5% Draw 24.4% Willem II 14.1%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 80%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Willem II: 6 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

80%

Market agrees with this pick

GO Ahead Eagles

L L D D D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Willem II

W L D W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 4

GO Ahead Eagles 3wins ·0 draws ·Willem II 1wins

GO Ahead Eagles 1-0 Willem IIMar 16, 2025

GO Ahead Eagles 0-2 Willem IIAug 18, 2024

GO Ahead Eagles 4-0 Willem IIApr 8, 2022

GO Ahead Eagles 1-0 Willem IINov 27, 2021

🏥 GO Ahead Eagles unavailable

G. Nauber · Broken Leg

P. Saathof · Knee Injury

R. Weijenberg · Knee Injury

🏥 Willem II unavailable

J. Schuurman · Knock

A. Lachkar · Groin Injury

A. Zarrouk · Injury

📈 Probability Breakdown

GO Ahead Eagles win61.5%

Draw24.4%

Willem II win14.1%

Over 1.5 goals77.1%

Over 2.5 goals87.2%

Over 3.5 goals29.3%

Both teams to score78.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

85.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

85.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.6%

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Draw No Bet - Home81.7%

Both Halves Over 0.573.5%

Goal in Both Halves73.5%

Home Win68.2%

Draw or Away (X2)31.7%

Draw No Bet - Away18.3%

Draw16.4%

Away Win15.2%

Exactly 1 Goal7.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.2%

Under 5.5 Goals79.7%

Over 2.5 Goals75.0%

Under 4.5 Goals64.3%

Over 3.5 Goals55.2%

4+ Goals55.2%

2-4 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals44.8%

1-3 Goals42.7%

3-4 Goals39.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.7%

2-3 Goals35.0%

Under 2.5 Goals25.0%

1-2 Goals22.8%

Over 5.5 Goals20.3%

Exactly 3 Goals19.8%

Exactly 2 Goals15.1%

Under 1.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.1%

Away Team to Score70.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.0%

Home Clean Sheet29.0%

Home Win to Nil27.0%

Away Clean Sheet6.7%

Away Win to Nil4.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.1%

Home Over 1.574.9%

Away Over 0.570.8%

Home Over 2.550.4%

Home 3+ Goals50.4%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Away Over 1.535.0%

Away Exactly 029.0%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 222.2%

Home Exactly 118.2%

Away Over 2.512.8%

Away 3+ Goals12.8%

Home Exactly 06.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.4%

Home to win by 3+28.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 19.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.0%

Away to win by 24.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.5%

Home & Over 2.555.8%

Home & BTTS41.1%

Home & No BTTS27.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.5%

Draw & BTTS14.5%

Home & Under 2.512.4%

Away & Over 2.511.3%

Away & BTTS10.5%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & No BTTS4.8%

Away & Under 2.53.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.0%

HT Over 1.552.8%

HT Home Win52.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Under 1.547.2%

HT/FT Home/Home46.8%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw30.6%

HT Both Teams Score30.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.3%

HT Away Win17.0%

HT Under 0.517.0%

HT/FT Away/Away8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

GO Ahead Eagles

G. Nauber Broken Leg

P. Saathof Knee Injury

R. Weijenberg Knee Injury

Willem II

J. Schuurman Knock

A. Lachkar Groin Injury

A. Zarrouk Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

GO Ahead Eagles win50%

Draw50%

Willem II win0%

AdviceDouble chance : GO Ahead Eagles or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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