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UEFA Champions League

Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe

Kick-off 19:00 · Wed, Jul 29
📊 Our Prediction
Away Win
85% confidence
Gornik Zabrze 4.0% Draw 11.0% Fenerbahçe 85.0%
Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 24%
🎯 Best Pick
Away Win
Fenerbahçe form
⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 63%
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
88%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
No Both Teams Score (NG)
Gornik Zabrze scoring issues
80%
Away Clean Sheet
Fenerbahçe defense
75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Fenerbahçe has a significant form gap over Gornik Zabrze. With Fenerbahçe's strong attacking threat and Gornik Zabrze's defensive strength, an away win is likely. Gornik Zabrze's inability to score is a major concern. Fenerbahçe's recent win over Gornik Zabrze also gives them an edge.
💡
Top Tip
Fenerbahçe to win due to their superior form and scoring ability
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
X2 · Draw or Away covers 96% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 4.0% on the only losing outcome.
Fenerbahçe form
Numbers behind this Away Win
X2 · Draw or Away
96%
Two outcomes covered by the model
Loss probability
4%
Only the uncovered result loses
Bookmaker implied chance
63%
Market does not fully agree
Gornik Zabrze
L
Form 0-0-1 Goals 0:1 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 1
Fenerbahçe
W D W W
Form 3-1-0 Goals 10:4 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1
Head to head · last 1
Gornik Zabrze 0wins ·0 draws ·Fenerbahçe 1wins
Gornik Zabrze 0-1 FenerbahçeJul 21, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gornik Zabrze win4.0%
Draw11.0%
Fenerbahçe win85.0%
Over 1.5 goals77.5%
Over 2.5 goals53.0%
Over 3.5 goals30.7%
Both teams to score24.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score
91.7%
Away Over 0.5
91.7%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)
91.0%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)96.9%
Draw No Bet - Away96.6%
Home or Away (12)88.3%
Away Win85.3%
Both Halves Over 0.556.3%
Goal in Both Halves56.3%
Exactly 1 Goal17.0%
Home or Draw (1X)14.6%
Draw11.6%
Draw No Bet - Home3.4%
Home Win3.0%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals93.8%
Under 5.5 Goals93.6%
Under 4.5 Goals84.9%
Over 1.5 Goals76.8%
Under 3.5 Goals69.3%
1-3 Goals63.1%
2-4 Goals61.7%
Over 2.5 Goals52.9%
Total Goals Even50.1%
Total Goals Odd49.7%
Under 2.5 Goals47.1%
2-3 Goals46.1%
1-2 Goals40.9%
3-4 Goals37.8%
Over 3.5 Goals30.7%
4+ Goals30.7%
Exactly 2 Goals23.8%
Under 1.5 Goals23.2%
Exactly 3 Goals22.2%
Over 4.5 Goals15.1%
Over 5.5 Goals6.4%
Under 0.5 Goals6.2%
Exactly 0 Goals6.1%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score91.7%
No Both Teams Score (NG)76.2%
Away Clean Sheet74.0%
Away Win to Nil67.9%
Home Team to Score25.9%
Both Teams Score (GG)23.8%
Home Clean Sheet8.2%
Home Win to Nil2.1%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.591.7%
Home Exactly 074.0%
Away Over 1.571.2%
Away Over 2.545.5%
Away 3+ Goals45.5%
Home Over 0.525.9%
Away Exactly 225.7%
Home Exactly 122.2%
Away Exactly 120.5%
Away Exactly 08.2%
Home Over 1.53.7%
Home Exactly 23.3%
Home Over 2.50.4%
Home 3+ Goals0.4%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.5%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.5%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)96.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away96.9%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.6%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.0%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)85.3%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.5%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)63.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away63.7%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)60.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home60.4%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)39.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away39.4%
Away to win by 3+39.4%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)36.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home36.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw24.2%
Away to win by 224.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.7%
Away to win by 121.7%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)20.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away20.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw19.0%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)14.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home14.6%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.5%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.6%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)3.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw2.6%
Home to win by 12.6%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.3%
Home to win by 20.3%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%
Home to win by 3+0.0%
Combos (15)
Away & No BTTS67.9%
Away & Over 2.551.1%
No BTTS & Under 2.542.4%
Away & Under 2.534.2%
No BTTS & Over 2.533.7%
BTTS & Over 2.519.2%
Away & BTTS17.4%
Draw & Under 2.510.6%
Draw & BTTS5.5%
BTTS & Under 2.54.6%
Home & Under 2.52.1%
Home & No BTTS2.1%
Home & Over 2.50.9%
Draw & Over 2.50.9%
Home & BTTS0.9%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.571.6%
HT Under 1.564.1%
HT Away Win62.7%
HT/FT Away/Away61.2%
2nd Half More Goals43.8%
HT Over 1.535.9%
HT Draw32.8%
1st Half More Goals31.2%
HT Under 0.528.4%
Equal Goals Each Half25.0%
HT/FT Draw/Away22.7%
HT/FT Draw/Draw8.7%
HT Both Teams Score8.5%
HT Home Win4.4%
HT/FT Home/Home1.5%
HT/FT Home/Away1.5%
HT/FT Draw/Home1.4%
HT/FT Away/Draw1.4%
HT/FT Home/Draw1.4%
HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Gornik Zabrze win0%
Draw50%
Fenerbahçe win50%
AdviceCombo Double chance : draw or Fenerbahçe and -2.5 goals
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
← All predictions
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