UEFA Europa League

Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

77% confidence

Gornik Zabrze 3.9% Draw 18.7% Ferencvarosi TC 77.4%

Over 2.5 - 41% BTTS - 24%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw No Bet - Away

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 19.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Ferencvarosi TC: 1 points versus 13 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

19.9%

Exact-score model probability

Gornik Zabrze

L D L

Form 0-1-2 Goals 1:3 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

Ferencvarosi TC

W D W W W

Form 4-1-0 Goals 10:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.8

Head to head · last 1

Gornik Zabrze 0wins ·0 draws ·Ferencvarosi TC 1wins

Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Ferencvarosi TCAug 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gornik Zabrze win3.9%

Draw18.7%

Ferencvarosi TC win77.4%

Over 1.5 goals67.9%

Over 2.5 goals40.6%

Over 3.5 goals20.2%

Both teams to score23.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.6%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)95.2%

Draw No Bet - Away94.3%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Away Win78.2%

Both Halves Over 0.546.4%

Goal in Both Halves46.4%

Exactly 1 Goal23.0%

Home or Draw (1X)21.8%

Draw17.1%

Draw No Bet - Home5.7%

Home Win4.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.0%

Under 4.5 Goals91.6%

Over 0.5 Goals90.0%

Under 3.5 Goals79.8%

1-3 Goals69.8%

Over 1.5 Goals67.1%

Under 2.5 Goals59.4%

2-4 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Even50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

1-2 Goals49.5%

2-3 Goals46.9%

Over 2.5 Goals40.6%

Under 1.5 Goals32.9%

3-4 Goals32.1%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.4%

Over 3.5 Goals20.2%

4+ Goals20.2%

Under 0.5 Goals10.0%

Exactly 0 Goals10.0%

Over 4.5 Goals8.4%

Over 5.5 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)77.1%

Away Clean Sheet73.5%

Away Win to Nil63.6%

Home Team to Score26.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)22.9%

Home Clean Sheet13.5%

Home Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.4%

Home Exactly 073.5%

Away Over 1.559.4%

Away Over 2.532.3%

Away 3+ Goals32.3%

Away Exactly 127.1%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Over 0.526.4%

Home Exactly 122.6%

Away Exactly 013.5%

Home Over 1.53.8%

Home Exactly 23.5%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)78.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home72.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)51.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away51.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)48.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home48.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)27.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away27.2%

Away to win by 3+27.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw26.7%

Away to win by 126.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw24.3%

Away to win by 224.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home21.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)4.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.1%

Home to win by 14.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.6%

Home to win by 20.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS63.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.553.3%

Away & Under 2.539.8%

Away & Over 2.538.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.8%

BTTS & Over 2.516.7%

Draw & Under 2.516.1%

Away & BTTS14.6%

Draw & BTTS7.1%

BTTS & Under 2.56.1%

Home & No BTTS3.6%

Home & Under 2.53.5%

Home & Over 2.51.2%

Home & BTTS1.2%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.2%

HT Over 0.564.6%

HT Away Win54.5%

HT/FT Away/Away52.5%

2nd Half More Goals41.6%

HT Draw40.0%

HT Under 0.535.4%

1st Half More Goals30.3%

Equal Goals Each Half28.1%

HT Over 1.527.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away24.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.4%

HT Both Teams Score7.7%

HT Home Win5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Home2.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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