UEFA Europa Conference League

Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Gornik Zabrze 19.2% Draw 22.3% Monaco 58.5%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Monaco: 2 points versus 5 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Gornik Zabrze

D L D L

Form 0-2-2 Goals 2:4 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

Monaco

L L W D D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 11:15 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gornik Zabrze win19.2%

Draw22.3%

Monaco win58.5%

Over 1.5 goals86.7%

Over 2.5 goals66.4%

Over 3.5 goals44.6%

Both teams to score63.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

92.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.9%

Draw or Away (X2)79.6%

Draw No Bet - Away74.6%

Both Halves Over 0.566.6%

Goal in Both Halves66.6%

Away Win59.6%

Home or Draw (1X)40.4%

Draw No Bet - Home25.4%

Home Win20.3%

Draw20.0%

Exactly 1 Goal11.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals86.9%

Over 1.5 Goals85.5%

Under 4.5 Goals74.1%

Over 2.5 Goals66.3%

2-4 Goals59.6%

Under 3.5 Goals55.5%

1-3 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals44.5%

4+ Goals44.5%

2-3 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals33.7%

1-2 Goals30.3%

Over 4.5 Goals25.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.1%

Under 1.5 Goals14.5%

Over 5.5 Goals13.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.9%

Home Team to Score70.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.4%

Away Clean Sheet29.5%

Away Win to Nil26.3%

Home Clean Sheet11.1%

Home Win to Nil7.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.9%

Home Over 0.570.4%

Away Over 1.564.5%

Away Over 2.537.7%

Away 3+ Goals37.7%

Home Exactly 136.0%

Home Over 1.534.4%

Home Exactly 029.5%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 124.4%

Home Exactly 221.9%

Home Over 2.512.5%

Home 3+ Goals12.5%

Away Exactly 011.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)62.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home62.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)59.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.3%

Away to win by 122.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.4%

Away to win by 3+19.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.9%

Away to win by 217.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.3%

Home to win by 112.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.5%

Home to win by 25.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.8%

Away & Over 2.544.5%

Away & BTTS33.3%

Away & No BTTS26.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.8%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Away & Under 2.515.1%

Home & Over 2.513.9%

Home & BTTS12.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.5%

Draw & Under 2.512.1%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.0%

Home & No BTTS7.8%

Home & Under 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.5%

HT Under 1.554.5%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.5%

HT Away Win45.3%

HT/FT Away/Away38.9%

HT Draw34.8%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score26.5%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT Under 0.521.5%

HT Home Win19.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.1%

HT/FT Home/Home11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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