Turkey · Süper Lig

Göztepe vs Başakşehir

Kick-off 17:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Göztepe 46.3% Draw 16.9% Başakşehir 36.8%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

91%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Başakşehir: 5 points versus 10 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.27 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.1%

Exact-score model probability

Göztepe

L D L W D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 2.4

Başakşehir

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Göztepe win46.3%

Draw16.9%

Başakşehir win36.8%

Over 1.5 goals98.8%

Over 2.5 goals94.6%

Over 3.5 goals86.5%

Both teams to score91.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.8%

Goal in Both Halves

90.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.8%

Goal in Both Halves90.8%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Home or Draw (1X)62.3%

Draw No Bet - Home55.7%

Draw or Away (X2)52.9%

Home Win46.1%

Draw No Bet - Away44.3%

Away Win36.7%

Draw16.3%

Exactly 1 Goal1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.6%

Over 2.5 Goals93.7%

Over 3.5 Goals85.7%

4+ Goals85.7%

Over 4.5 Goals73.2%

Over 5.5 Goals57.7%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 5.5 Goals42.3%

Under 4.5 Goals26.8%

2-4 Goals24.4%

3-4 Goals20.5%

Under 3.5 Goals14.3%

1-3 Goals13.2%

2-3 Goals11.9%

Exactly 3 Goals8.0%

Under 2.5 Goals6.3%

1-2 Goals5.1%

Exactly 2 Goals3.9%

Under 1.5 Goals2.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.2%

Away Team to Score93.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.8%

Home Clean Sheet5.2%

Home Win to Nil5.0%

Away Clean Sheet3.8%

Away Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.2%

Away Over 0.593.8%

Home Over 1.582.7%

Away Over 1.578.5%

Home Over 2.562.4%

Home 3+ Goals62.4%

Away Over 2.555.8%

Away 3+ Goals55.8%

Away Exactly 222.6%

Home Exactly 220.3%

Away Exactly 115.4%

Home Exactly 112.5%

Away Exactly 05.2%

Home Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)36.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.8%

Home to win by 3+17.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.2%

Away to win by 114.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 212.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.2%

Away to win by 3+12.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.4%

Away to win by 210.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.8%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.3%

Home & Over 2.544.4%

Home & BTTS41.1%

Away & Over 2.535.2%

Away & BTTS33.1%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

Draw & Over 2.514.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.4%

Home & No BTTS5.0%

Away & No BTTS3.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Home & Under 2.51.7%

Away & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.9%

HT Over 1.576.8%

HT Both Teams Score56.5%

2nd Half More Goals51.7%

HT Home Win40.5%

HT Away Win34.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home30.6%

HT Draw25.2%

HT/FT Away/Away23.5%

HT Under 1.523.2%

Equal Goals Each Half15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.9%

HT Under 0.56.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away4.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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