Turkey · Süper Lig

Göztepe vs Rizespor

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Göztepe 48.2% Draw 16.8% Rizespor 35.0%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

91%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rizespor: 5 points versus 7 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.80 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.1%

Exact-score model probability

Göztepe

L D L W D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 2.4

Rizespor

L W D L W

Form 2-1-2 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 1.8

📈 Probability Breakdown

Göztepe win48.2%

Draw16.8%

Rizespor win35.0%

Over 1.5 goals98.8%

Over 2.5 goals94.6%

Over 3.5 goals86.4%

Both teams to score91.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.7%

Goal in Both Halves

90.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.7%

Goal in Both Halves90.7%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Home or Draw (1X)64.1%

Draw No Bet - Home57.9%

Draw or Away (X2)51.0%

Home Win48.0%

Draw No Bet - Away42.1%

Away Win34.9%

Draw16.2%

Exactly 1 Goal1.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals93.6%

Over 3.5 Goals85.5%

4+ Goals85.5%

Over 4.5 Goals73.0%

Over 5.5 Goals57.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 5.5 Goals42.5%

Under 4.5 Goals27.0%

2-4 Goals24.5%

3-4 Goals20.6%

Under 3.5 Goals14.5%

1-3 Goals13.3%

2-3 Goals12.0%

Exactly 3 Goals8.1%

Under 2.5 Goals6.4%

1-2 Goals5.2%

Exactly 2 Goals3.9%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score93.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.0%

Home Clean Sheet5.6%

Home Win to Nil5.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.6%

Away Win to Nil3.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Away Over 0.593.4%

Home Over 1.583.3%

Away Over 1.577.4%

Home Over 2.563.4%

Home 3+ Goals63.4%

Away Over 2.554.3%

Away 3+ Goals54.3%

Away Exactly 223.1%

Home Exactly 219.9%

Away Exactly 116.1%

Home Exactly 112.0%

Away Exactly 05.6%

Home Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.0%

Home to win by 3+19.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 115.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.1%

Home to win by 213.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.2%

Away to win by 3+11.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.9%

Away to win by 29.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.0%

Home & Over 2.546.2%

Home & BTTS42.6%

Away & Over 2.533.4%

Away & BTTS31.4%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.6%

Home & No BTTS5.4%

Away & No BTTS3.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.0%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.8%

HT Over 1.576.7%

HT Both Teams Score56.3%

2nd Half More Goals51.7%

HT Home Win41.8%

HT Away Win33.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home32.1%

HT Draw25.2%

HT Under 1.523.3%

HT/FT Away/Away22.2%

Equal Goals Each Half15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.5%

HT Under 0.56.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away4.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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