Brazil · Serie A

Gremio vs Fluminense

Kick-off 22:30 · Sun, Jul 26

📊 Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

47% confidence

Gremio 46.6% Draw 33.2% Fluminense 20.2%

Over 2.5 - 31% BTTS - 38%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 59%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gremio win46.6%

Draw33.2%

Fluminense win20.2%

Over 1.5 goals59.6%

Over 2.5 goals30.9%

Over 3.5 goals13.3%

Both teams to score37.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 3.5 Goals

86.7%

Over 0.5 Goals

85.7%

Home or Draw (1X)

78.2%

Under 5.5 Goals98.5%

Under 4.5 Goals95.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.8%

Under 3.5 Goals86.7%

Over 0.5 Goals85.7%

Home or Draw (1X)78.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.2%

HT Under 1.578.1%

1-3 Goals72.4%

Home Team to Score70.7%

Home Over 0.570.7%

Home or Away (12)70.0%

Under 2.5 Goals69.1%

Draw No Bet - Home68.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.7%

HT Over 0.558.4%

Over 1.5 Goals57.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.556.5%

1-2 Goals54.8%

2-4 Goals53.1%

Draw or Away (X2)51.7%

Away Team to Score51.3%

Away Over 0.551.3%

Total Goals Even51.0%

HT Draw49.4%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Home Clean Sheet48.7%

Away Exactly 048.7%

Home Win48.3%

2-3 Goals44.6%

Under 1.5 Goals42.1%

HT Under 0.541.6%

2nd Half More Goals39.6%

Both Halves Over 0.538.4%

Goal in Both Halves38.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.3%

Home Exactly 136.0%

Away Exactly 135.0%

Home Over 1.534.7%

Home Win to Nil34.4%

Home & No BTTS34.4%

HT Home Win33.3%

Draw No Bet - Away31.1%

Equal Goals Each Half31.1%

Over 2.5 Goals30.9%

Draw30.0%

Away Clean Sheet29.3%

Home Exactly 029.3%

1st Half More Goals29.3%

Home & Under 2.528.3%

HT/FT Home/Home28.3%

Exactly 1 Goal27.8%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

Draw & Under 2.526.9%

Home to win by 126.5%

3-4 Goals26.1%

BTTS & Over 2.523.7%

Home Exactly 222.1%

HT Over 1.521.9%

Away Win21.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw21.8%

Home & Over 2.520.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.3%

Exactly 3 Goals17.6%

HT Away Win17.3%

Away Over 1.516.3%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Away to win by 115.5%

Away Win to Nil15.0%

Away & No BTTS15.0%

Under 0.5 Goals14.3%

Exactly 0 Goals14.3%

Home to win by 214.3%

Away & Under 2.514.0%

Home & BTTS13.9%

Over 3.5 Goals13.3%

4+ Goals13.3%

Home Over 2.512.6%

Home 3+ Goals12.6%

Away Exactly 212.6%

BTTS & Under 2.512.6%

HT Both Teams Score11.7%

HT/FT Away/Away11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.3%

Away & Over 2.57.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.5%

Home to win by 3+7.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.2%

Away & BTTS6.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.2%

Away to win by 24.9%

Over 4.5 Goals4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

Away Over 2.53.7%

Away 3+ Goals3.7%

Draw & Over 2.53.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

Over 5.5 Goals1.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Fluminense

Vitor Eudes Inactive

J. Millan Injury

John Kennedy Red Card

Matheus Reis Knee Injury

Gremio

Marlon Broken ankle

L. Perez Yellow Cards

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Gremio win10%

Draw45%

Fluminense win45%

AdviceDouble chance : draw or Fluminense

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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