Brazil · Serie A

Gremio vs Internacional

Kick-off 21:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Gremio 57.9% Draw 23.6% Internacional 18.5%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Internacional: 5 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Gremio

D D L L L W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Internacional

W L W L L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Gremio win57.9%

Draw23.6%

Internacional win18.5%

Over 1.5 goals83.3%

Over 2.5 goals60.7%

Over 3.5 goals38.3%

Both teams to score59.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.2%

Home Team to Score

87.0%

Home Over 0.5

87.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)80.2%

Home or Away (12)78.9%

Draw No Bet - Home75.0%

Both Halves Over 0.562.2%

Goal in Both Halves62.2%

Home Win59.2%

Draw or Away (X2)40.8%

Draw No Bet - Away25.0%

Draw21.0%

Away Win19.8%

Exactly 1 Goal13.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Under 5.5 Goals90.2%

Over 1.5 Goals82.0%

Under 4.5 Goals79.2%

Under 3.5 Goals61.7%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals60.7%

1-3 Goals57.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.7%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals39.3%

Over 3.5 Goals38.3%

4+ Goals38.3%

1-2 Goals35.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.4%

Over 4.5 Goals20.8%

Under 1.5 Goals18.0%

Over 5.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.0%

Away Team to Score66.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.1%

Home Clean Sheet33.4%

Home Win to Nil29.1%

Away Clean Sheet13.0%

Away Win to Nil8.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.0%

Away Over 0.566.6%

Home Over 1.560.5%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Over 2.533.4%

Home 3+ Goals33.4%

Away Exactly 033.4%

Away Over 1.529.9%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 126.5%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Home Exactly 013.0%

Away Over 2.59.9%

Away 3+ Goals9.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.2%

Home to win by 123.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

Home to win by 3+18.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.5%

Away to win by 112.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.2%

Away to win by 25.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.2%

Home & Over 2.541.3%

Home & BTTS30.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.6%

Home & No BTTS29.1%

Home & Under 2.517.9%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Draw & Under 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.5%

Away & Over 2.512.4%

Away & BTTS11.1%

BTTS & Under 2.59.7%

Away & No BTTS8.6%

Away & Under 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.6%

HT Under 1.558.8%

2nd Half More Goals45.0%

HT Home Win44.3%

HT Over 1.541.2%

HT/FT Home/Home38.2%

HT Draw36.7%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.4%

HT Both Teams Score23.4%

Equal Goals Each Half23.4%

HT Away Win19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.8%

HT/FT Away/Away11.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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