Netherlands · Eredivisie

Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam

Kick-off 16:45 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Groningen 55.2% Draw 24.4% Sparta Rotterdam 20.3%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 97%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Groningen win at 55.2%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Groningen: 9 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Groningen win

55.2%

1X2 model probability

Draw

24.4%

1X2 model probability

Sparta Rotterdam win

20.3%

1X2 model probability

Groningen

D L W W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:11 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Sparta Rotterdam

L W D L L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 10:17 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.83

Head to head · last 5

Groningen 1wins ·0 draws ·Sparta Rotterdam 4wins

Groningen 0-2 Sparta RotterdamJan 31, 2026

Groningen 0-2 Sparta RotterdamOct 19, 2025

Groningen 0-1 Sparta RotterdamFeb 2, 2025

Groningen 1-0 Sparta RotterdamNov 9, 2024

Groningen 0-5 Sparta RotterdamMay 28, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Groningen win55.2%

Draw24.4%

Sparta Rotterdam win20.3%

Over 1.5 goals82.9%

Over 2.5 goals99.1%

Over 3.5 goals37.6%

Both teams to score97.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.5%

Goal in Both Halves

91.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.5%

Goal in Both Halves91.5%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Draw or Away (X2)61.9%

Draw No Bet - Away55.4%

Home or Draw (1X)52.9%

Away Win45.9%

Draw No Bet - Home44.6%

Home Win36.9%

Draw16.0%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals97.6%

Over 2.5 Goals94.2%

Over 3.5 Goals86.8%

4+ Goals86.8%

Over 4.5 Goals75.2%

Over 5.5 Goals60.3%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Under 5.5 Goals39.7%

Under 4.5 Goals24.8%

2-4 Goals22.4%

3-4 Goals19.0%

Under 3.5 Goals13.2%

1-3 Goals11.8%

2-3 Goals10.7%

Exactly 3 Goals7.3%

Under 2.5 Goals5.8%

1-2 Goals4.5%

Exactly 2 Goals3.4%

Under 1.5 Goals2.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.3%

Home Team to Score94.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.2%

Away Clean Sheet4.7%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Home Clean Sheet3.5%

Home Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 0.594.1%

Away Over 1.583.6%

Home Over 1.579.7%

Away Over 2.563.9%

Away 3+ Goals63.9%

Home Over 2.557.8%

Home 3+ Goals57.8%

Home Exactly 221.9%

Away Exactly 219.7%

Home Exactly 114.4%

Away Exactly 111.8%

Home Exactly 04.7%

Away Exactly 03.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home68.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)52.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home52.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)45.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.0%

Away to win by 3+18.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 115.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.0%

Home to win by 114.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.5%

Home to win by 3+12.5%

Away to win by 212.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.4%

Home to win by 210.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.0%

Away & Over 2.544.4%

Away & BTTS41.3%

Home & Over 2.535.6%

Home & BTTS33.6%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

Draw & Over 2.514.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.1%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Home & No BTTS3.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Away & Under 2.51.5%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.3%

HT Over 1.578.1%

HT Both Teams Score58.0%

2nd Half More Goals51.9%

HT Away Win40.6%

HT Home Win34.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Away/Away30.6%

HT Draw24.8%

HT/FT Home/Home23.8%

HT Under 1.521.9%

Equal Goals Each Half15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.8%

HT Under 0.55.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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