Netherlands · Eredivisie

Groningen vs Twente

Kick-off 11:15 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Groningen 30.6% Draw 28.1% Twente 41.3%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 96%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Twente: 9 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Groningen

L L W W L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

Twente

W L W D L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 16:7 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Groningen 0wins ·3 draws ·Twente 2wins

Groningen 1-2 TwenteFeb 22, 2026

Groningen 1-1 TwenteNov 2, 2025

Groningen 1-1 TwenteMar 1, 2025

Groningen 0-2 TwenteDec 15, 2024

Groningen 1-1 TwenteFeb 5, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Groningen win30.6%

Draw28.1%

Twente win41.3%

Over 1.5 goals77.4%

Over 2.5 goals98.2%

Over 3.5 goals29.7%

Both teams to score95.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.5%

Both Halves Over 0.5

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.8%

Goal in Both Halves88.8%

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Draw or Away (X2)63.7%

Draw No Bet - Away56.9%

Home or Draw (1X)52.4%

Away Win46.9%

Draw No Bet - Home43.1%

Home Win35.6%

Draw16.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals97.3%

Over 2.5 Goals92.2%

Over 3.5 Goals82.4%

4+ Goals82.4%

Over 4.5 Goals68.1%

Over 5.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 5.5 Goals48.5%

Under 4.5 Goals31.9%

2-4 Goals29.2%

3-4 Goals24.1%

Under 3.5 Goals17.6%

1-3 Goals16.7%

2-3 Goals14.9%

Exactly 3 Goals9.8%

Under 2.5 Goals7.8%

1-2 Goals6.8%

Exactly 2 Goals5.1%

Under 1.5 Goals2.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.8%

Home Team to Score92.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.5%

Away Clean Sheet6.6%

Away Win to Nil6.2%

Home Clean Sheet4.6%

Home Win to Nil4.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 0.592.8%

Away Over 1.580.6%

Home Over 1.575.0%

Away Over 2.558.9%

Away 3+ Goals58.9%

Home Over 2.550.7%

Home 3+ Goals50.7%

Home Exactly 224.3%

Away Exactly 221.8%

Home Exactly 117.8%

Away Exactly 114.1%

Home Exactly 06.6%

Away Exactly 04.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home81.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home68.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)52.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home52.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.7%

Away to win by 3+17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.2%

Away to win by 116.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 114.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 213.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.1%

Home to win by 3+11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 210.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.0%

Away & Over 2.544.6%

Away & BTTS40.7%

Home & Over 2.533.7%

Home & BTTS31.3%

Draw & BTTS16.5%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

Away & No BTTS6.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Home & No BTTS4.3%

Draw & Under 2.52.8%

BTTS & Under 2.52.5%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.6%

HT Over 1.573.5%

HT Both Teams Score52.9%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Away Win40.6%

HT Home Win33.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Away/Away31.0%

HT Under 1.526.5%

HT Draw26.2%

HT/FT Home/Home22.6%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.9%

HT Under 0.57.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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