Mexico · Liga MX

Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC

Full time · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

Guadalajara Chivas 82.8% Draw 14.4% Atlante FC 2.8%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 24%

✓ Pick was correct (2:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 19.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Guadalajara Chivas: 14 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

19.5%

Exact-score model probability

Guadalajara Chivas

W W D D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 11:3 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 0.5

Atlante FC

L W L W D L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Guadalajara Chivas win82.8%

Draw14.4%

Atlante FC win2.8%

Over 1.5 goals74.6%

Over 2.5 goals49.0%

Over 3.5 goals27.2%

Both teams to score24.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.3%

Home Over 0.5

90.3%

Under 4.5 Goals

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)96.5%

Draw No Bet - Home96.0%

Home or Away (12)86.8%

Home Win83.4%

Both Halves Over 0.553.2%

Goal in Both Halves53.2%

Exactly 1 Goal18.9%

Draw or Away (X2)16.6%

Draw13.1%

Draw No Bet - Away4.0%

Away Win3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.9%

Over 0.5 Goals92.8%

Under 4.5 Goals87.3%

Over 1.5 Goals73.9%

Under 3.5 Goals72.9%

1-3 Goals65.6%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Under 2.5 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals49.0%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals36.3%

Over 3.5 Goals27.1%

4+ Goals27.1%

Under 1.5 Goals26.1%

Exactly 2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals12.7%

Under 0.5 Goals7.2%

Exactly 0 Goals7.2%

Over 5.5 Goals5.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)76.6%

Home Clean Sheet74.0%

Home Win to Nil66.9%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)23.4%

Away Clean Sheet9.7%

Away Win to Nil2.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.3%

Away Exactly 074.0%

Home Over 1.567.7%

Home Over 2.541.3%

Home 3+ Goals41.3%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 122.6%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Exactly 09.7%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)39.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away39.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.5%

Home to win by 3+35.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw24.5%

Home to win by 224.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.3%

Home to win by 123.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 13.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 20.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS66.9%

Home & Over 2.547.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.545.9%

Home & Under 2.536.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.530.6%

BTTS & Over 2.518.4%

Home & BTTS16.5%

Draw & Under 2.512.2%

Draw & BTTS6.0%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Away & No BTTS2.5%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Away & Over 2.51.0%

Away & BTTS0.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.5%

HT Under 1.566.7%

HT Home Win60.3%

HT/FT Home/Home58.6%

2nd Half More Goals43.2%

HT Draw35.0%

HT Over 1.533.3%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.5%

Equal Goals Each Half25.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home23.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.0%

HT Both Teams Score8.2%

HT Away Win4.7%

HT/FT Away/Away1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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